Avalanche vs. Lightning NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Nov. 4

The Colorado Avalanche and Tampa Bay Lightning are coming off a loss and a win, respectively, heading into their meeting at Ball Arena on Tuesday at 9:30 p.m. ET. The sportsbooks have made the Avalanche solid favorites at -142 on the moneyline, and the Lightning are at +120.

Colorado lost 3-2 in overtime on the road in its last game on Nov. 1 against the San Jose Sharks. Six Avalanche skaters recorded one point each, including Valeri Nichushkin (one assist) and Artturi Lehkonen (one assist).

Tampa Bay won its last game 4-2 on the road over the Utah Mammoth on Nov. 2. Jake Guentzel led the Lightning with two points (one goal and one assist) in that matchup.

Here is our prediction for who will claim the victory in Tuesday's matchup.

Avalanche vs. Lightning Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming contest between the Colorado Avalanche and Tampa Bay Lightning, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Lightning 4 - Avalanche 3
• Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 6.93 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Avalanche vs. Lightning Moneylines

Take a peek below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Avalanche-Lightning matchup.

• Favorite: Avalanche (-142)
• Underdog: Lightning (+120)

Avalanche Betting Insights

• The Avalanche are 7-5 when listed as a moneyline favorite this season.
• Colorado is 5-4 (winning 55.6% of its games) when playing with moneyline odds of -142 or shorter.
• The Avalanche have a 58.7% chance (based on the moneyline's implied probability) to win this contest.
• Colorado's 13 matches this season have finished above this game's total of 6.5 goals five times.

Lightning Betting Insights

• The Lightning have been made an underdog three times this season, and won once.
• Tampa Bay has not been set as a bigger underdog this season than the +120 moneyline for this game.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 45.5% chance of victory for the Lightning.
• Tampa Bay has played five games this season that finished with over 6.5 goals.

Avalanche Key Stats

• Colorado has scored the second-most goals in the NHL (47 total, 3.6 per game).
• The Avalanche have given up 33 total goals (2.5 per game), the eighth-fewest in league play.
• Its +14 goal differential is the second-best in the league.
• The eight power-play goals the Avalanche have scored this season rank 16th in the NHL (on 49 power-play chances).
• Colorado's 16.33% power-play conversion rate ranks 23rd in the league.
• Colorado kills 89.74% of opponent power plays, the fourth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• Colorado has the 12th-ranked faceoff win percentage in the NHL, at 50.7%.
• The Avalanche make 10.6% of their shots (19th in the league).

Lightning Key Stats

• With 35 goals (2.9 per game), Tampa Bay has the league's 25th-ranked offense.
• The Lightning have one of the best defenses in the league, conceding 33 total goals (2.8 per game), eighth in the league.
• Its +2 goal differential ranks 12th in the league.
• With six power-play goals (on 41 chances), the Lightning are 26th in the NHL.
• Tampa Bay scores on 14.63% of its power plays, No. 28 in the NHL.
• The 90% penalty-kill percentage of Tampa Bay is third in the NHL.
• At 44.4%, Tampa Bay has the league's 30th-ranked faceoff win percentage.
• With a shooting percentage of 10.9%, the Lightning are 18th in the league.