Arizona vs. LIU Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - First Round
17 March 2026
The No. 1 seed Arizona Wildcats (32-2) and the No. 16 seed Long Island Sharks (24-10) will meet on Friday at 1:35 p.m. ET in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. Arizona is a 30.5-point favorite in the matchup, which airs on TNT. Here's everything you need to know ahead of this 1-16 matchup in the West Region bracket. The matchup's over/under is set at 149.5.
In its most recent game on Saturday, Arizona earned a 79-74 win over Houston. Koa Peat put up 21 points, six rebounds and two assists for Arizona. LIU enters this contest on the heels of a 79-70 victory over Mercyhurst on Tuesday. Malachi Davis' team-leading 24 points paced LIU in the victory.
Arizona vs. LIU Odds and Game Time
- When: Friday, March 20, 2026 at 1:35 p.m. ET
- Where: Viejas Arena in San Diego, California
- Spread favorite: Arizona -30.5
- Moneyline favorite: Arizona -100000
- Moneyline underdog: LIU +5300
- Over/Under: 149.5 points
How to watch Arizona vs. LIU
Betting the Over/Under: Arizona vs. LIU
- This season, Arizona and its opponents have combined to outscore Friday's total of 149.5 points 22 times.
- In LIU's 34 games this season, 14 finished with more combined points than Friday's over/under of 149.5.
- Together, the two teams combine for 160.2 points per game, 10.7 points more than the point total of 149.5 for this contest.
- This matchup's over/under is 9.6 fewer points than the 139.9 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
- On average, Arizona has had a 154.9-point over/under in its games this season, 5.4 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
- A difference of 4.3 points separates this contest's over/under (149.5 points) and the average over/under in LIU's games (145.2) this season.
Betting the Spread: Arizona vs. LIU
- Arizona is 20-14-0 against the spread this season.
- This season, the Wildcats have just two against the spread wins in seven games as a favorite of 30.5 points or more.
- Against the spread, LIU is 16-18-0 this season.
- The Sharks have covered the spread once this season when underdogs by 30.5 points or more (in two chances).
- Arizona is 9-8 against the spread, and 16-1 overall, at home this year.
- Arizona has two wins ATS (2-5) as a 30.5-point favorite or more at home.
- This season in away games, LIU is 8-11 against the spread and 10-9 overall.
Betting the Moneyline: Arizona vs. LIU
- This season, Arizona has won 27 out of the 29 games, or 93.1%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
- The Wildcats have not been a bigger favorite this season than the -100000 moneyline set for this game.
- The implied probability of a win from Arizona, based on the moneyline, is 99.9%.
- LIU has come away with two wins in the nine contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
- The Sharks have yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +5300.
- LIU has an implied victory probability of 1.9% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
