Baker Mayfield vs. Bears - NFL - Player Props, Lines and Trends

In advance of Baker Mayfield's game on Sunday, which starts at 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock, check out some insights and stats to place the best bets. Mayfield and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-5) have a Week 9 matchup with the Chicago Bears (6-2) at Soldier Field.

Baker Mayfield Player Props

Mayfield Passing Insights

• Mayfield is passing for 135.8 yards per game, lower than his over/under for this matchup of 210.5.
• Mayfield has thrown for over 210.5 yards twice this year in five games.
• Mayfield's average passing yards prop this year is 218.5, while his actual passing average is under that by 82.7 yards.
• Mayfield has surpassed his passing yards prop total once in five chances.
• In three of five games this year, Mayfield completed a touchdown pass -- but he has no games with more than one.
• In two of five games this year, Mayfield has thrown an interception, but he had only one pick each time.

Mayfield Rushing Insights

• Mayfield averages 16.0 rushing yards per game average in 2026, 0.5 less than Sunday's over/under.
• Mayfield has totaled more than 16.5 yards on the ground in two outings so far this season.
• Mayfield rushes for 0.9 fewer yards per game this season than his average rushing yards over/under (16.9 yards).
• Twice in five opportunities this season, Mayfield has hit the over on his rushing yards total.
• Mayfield has scored a rushing TD one time this season.

Chicago Bears Rankings

• The 219 passing yards per game allowed by the Bears defense makes them the NFL's 14th-ranked pass defense.
• Opponents of the Bears have totaled 13 touchdowns through the air (1.6 per game). The Bears' defense is 22nd in the league in that category.
• The Bears' defense ranks 15th in interceptions. Opposing quarterbacks have tossed five against the Bears (0.6 per game).

For more expert NFL prop picks and best bets, visit Dunkel Index Best NFL Player Props today.