Aces vs. Liberty: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - July 30

Breanna Stewart and the New York Liberty (16-12) battle A'ja Wilson and the Las Vegas Aces (19-8) on Thursday, July 30, 2026 at Michelob ULTRA Arena, tipping off at 10 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video.

Las Vegas defeated Portland 98-83 in its last game. Wilson led the way with 28 points, 14 rebounds, four assists and two steals, followed by Jackie Young with 25 points.

New York beat Los Angeles 113-109 on the road in its last game. Its top performers were Stewart (29 PTS, 7 AST, 4 STL, 3 BLK, 57.9 FG%, 2-4 from 3PT) and Sabrina Ionescu (27 PTS, 7 REB, 6 AST, 56.3 FG%, 5-9 from 3PT).

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Aces vs. Liberty Betting Lines

Snag a look below at the latest betting lines for the Aces-Liberty matchup.

• Favorite: Aces (-4.5)
• Total: 181.5
• Aces Moneyline: -178
• Liberty Moneyline: +142

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Aces Betting Insights

• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Aces' implied win probability is 64.0%.
• Las Vegas has been favored on the moneyline 27 times this season. They've finished 19-8 in those games.
• The Aces are 15-12-0 ATS this season.
• Las Vegas' 27 games this season have gone over this contest's total of 181.5 points 13 times.
• The Aces have an average total of 174.1 in their outings this year, 7.4 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Liberty Betting Insights

• The Liberty have a 41.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• This season, New York has won three out of the five games in which it has been the underdog.
• The Liberty have covered 11 times in 28 matchups with a spread this year.
• New York's games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 181.5 points in 13 of 28 outings.
• The average over/under for Liberty contests this season is 172.4, 9.1 fewer points than this game's total.

Key Stats for Aces vs. Liberty

• The 91.3 points per game Las Vegas scores are just 4.3 more points than New York gives up (87).
• The Aces have a 15-2 record when putting up more than 87 points.
• Las Vegas has scored at a lower clip when playing at home than on the road in the 2026 season (89.1 points per game at home versus 93.3 on the road), and has allowed more points in home games than in road games (87.3 per home game versus 85.2 on the road).
• New York puts up an average of 89.4 points per game, only 3.2 more points than the 86.2 Las Vegas gives up to opponents.
• When they score more than 86.2 points, the Liberty are 12-5.
• New York scores fewer points per game at home (85) than away (93.2), but also gives up fewer at home (80.8) than away (92.3).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.