Virginia vs. Maryland Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Dec. 20

The No. 23 Virginia Cavaliers (9-1) take on the Maryland Terrapins (6-5) as 16.5-point favorites on Saturday, December 20, 2025 at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN. The matchup has an over/under of 154.5 points.

Virginia is coming off of an 84-60 victory against Maryland-Eastern Shore in its most recent game on Tuesday. Sam Lewis' team-leading 15 points paced Virginia in the win. Maryland's most recent outing was a 101-83 loss to Michigan on Saturday. David Coit scored 31 points in Maryland's loss, leading the team.

Virginia vs. Maryland Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, December 20, 2025 at 6 p.m. ET
• Where: John Paul Jones Arena in Charlottesville, Virginia
• Spread favorite: Virginia -16.5
• Moneyline favorite: Virginia -2326
• Moneyline underdog: Maryland +1080
• Over/Under: 154.5 points

How to watch Virginia vs. Maryland

• TV Channel: ESPN
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Virginia vs. Maryland

• Five of Virginia's games this season have gone over Saturday's over/under of 154.5 points.
• In Maryland's 11 games this season, five finished with more combined points than Saturday's point total of 154.5.
• The Cavaliers average 87.1 points per game against the Terrapins' 77.6, amounting to 10.2 points over the game's point total of 154.5.
• These two teams give up a combined 148 points per game, 6.5 points less than this contest's over/under.
• This season, the average over/under for Virginia's games is 154.6 points, 0.1 more than the total of 154.5 points set for this contest.
• Maryland's games have an average over/under of 158.2 points this season, 3.7 more points than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: Virginia vs. Maryland

• Against the spread, Virginia is 6-4-0 this year.
• This season, the Cavaliers have an against-the-spread record of 3-3 in their six games as a favorite of 16.5 points or more.
• Maryland has four wins against the spread in 11 games this year.
• This year, the Terrapins won ATS in their only game as an underdog of 16.5 points or more.
• At home this year, Virginia is 3-3 against the spread and 6-0 overall.
• At home, Virginia is 3-3 ATS as a 16.5-point favorite or greater.

Betting the Moneyline: Virginia vs. Maryland

• Virginia has been the moneyline favorite in seven games this season and won six (85.7%) of those contests.
• The Cavaliers have entered four games this season favored by -2326 or more, and won each of those games.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 95.9% chance of a victory for Virginia.
• Maryland has been victorious in one of the five contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• The Terrapins have played as an underdog of +1080 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Maryland has an 8.5% chance of walking away with the win.