Utah State vs. New Mexico Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - March 7

The Utah State Aggies (24-6, 14-5 MWC) face the New Mexico Lobos (22-8, 13-6 MWC) as 6.5-point favorites on Saturday, March 7, 2026 at 4 p.m. ET on MW Network. The matchup has an over/under of 158.5.

In its most recent outing on Tuesday, Utah State suffered a 92-65 loss to UNLV. Mason Falslev scored a team-high 20 points for Utah State in the loss. New Mexico's most recent game was an 82-74 loss to Colorado State on Wednesday. New Mexico got a team-best 22 points from Deyton Albury in the loss.

Utah State vs. New Mexico Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, March 7, 2026 at 4 p.m. ET
• Where: Dee Glen Smith Spectrum in Logan, Utah
• Spread favorite: Utah State -6.5
• Moneyline favorite: Utah State -319
• Moneyline underdog: New Mexico +255
• Over/Under: 158.5 points

How to watch Utah State vs. New Mexico

• TV Channel: MW Network
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Utah State vs. New Mexico

• This season, 11 of Utah State's 29 games have gone over Saturday's total of 158.5 points.
• This season, seven games New Mexico has played finished with a combined score higher than 158.5 points.
• The point total for the contest of 158.5 is 4.6 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Aggies (82.7 points per game) and the Lobos (80.4 points per game).
• The 140.6 points per game these two teams allow to opponents on average this season are 17.9 fewer than the 158.5 over/under in this contest.
• On average, the over/under in Utah State's games is 5.4 fewer points than the over/under of 158.5 in this matchup.
• A difference of 8.0 points separates this game's over/under (158.5 points) and the average over/under in New Mexico's games (150.5) this season.

Betting the Spread: Utah State vs. New Mexico

• Against the spread, Utah State is 11-18-0 this year.
• The Aggies have an against the spread record of 9-12 in their 21 games when favored by 6.5 points or more so far this season.
• New Mexico is 15-14-0 against the spread this season.
• The Lobos have been underdogs by 6.5 points or more three times this year and have covered the spread twice.
• Utah State is 5-8 against the spread, and 12-1 overall, at home this year.
• At home, as a 6.5-point favorite or greater, Utah State is 5-8 ATS.
• New Mexico is 7-4 overall, and 6-5 against the spread, away from home.
• New Mexico has one win ATS (1-2) as 6.5-point underdogs or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Utah State vs. New Mexico

• Utah State has entered the game as moneyline favorites 27 times this season and won 22, or 81.5%, of those games.
• The Aggies have entered 21 games this season favored by -319 or more and are 19-2 in those contests.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Utah State has a 76.1% chance to win.
• New Mexico has been victorious in four of the eight contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• The Lobos have been listed as an underdog of +255 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies New Mexico has a 28.2% chance of walking away with the win.