Lightning vs. Blackhawks NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Nov. 5

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Chicago Blackhawks -- the former coming off a win, the latter a loss -- will face each other on Thursday at 7 p.m. ET, at Benchmark International Arena in Tampa. The Blackhawks are big underdogs on the road, at +360, and the Lightning are -469.

Tampa Bay won 4-2 at home its last time out on Nov. 3 against the Detroit Red Wings. The Lightning were led by Brayden Point (two goals) and Nikita Kucherov (two assists).

Chicago's last game was a road loss, 5-3, against the Florida Panthers on Nov. 4. Three Blackhawks skaters had two points each in that matchup, including Connor Bedard (two assists) and Frank Nazar (two goals).

Here's our prediction for who will clinch the victory in Thursday's matchup.

Lightning vs. Blackhawks Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Chicago Blackhawks, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Blackhawks 4 - Lightning 3
• Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Lightning vs. Blackhawks Moneylines

Snag a look below at the most recent moneylines for the Lightning-Blackhawks game.

• Favorite: Lightning (-469)
• Underdog: Blackhawks (+360)

Lightning Betting Insights

• The Lightning have won 72.7% of their games when favored on the moneyline this season (8-3).
• Tampa Bay has not played a game this season shorter than -469 moneyline odds.
• The Lightning have an 82.4% chance (based on the moneyline's implied probability) to win this game.
• Tampa Bay and its opponent have posted more than 6.5 goals in seven of 14 games this season.

Blackhawks Betting Insights

• This season the Blackhawks have won three of the 15 games, or 20.0%, in which they've been an underdog.
• Chicago has not entered a game this season with longer odds on the moneyline than +360.
• Sportsbooks have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Blackhawks have a 21.7% chance to win.
• Chicago has played eight games this season that finished with over 6.5 goals.

Lightning Key Stats

• Tampa Bay has scored the 10th-most goals in the NHL (52 total, 3.7 per game).
• Defensively, the Lightning have been one of the stingiest units in league play, conceding 44 total goals (3.1 per game) to rank eighth.
• Its +8 goal differential is the seventh-best in the league.
• The eight power-play goals the Lightning have recorded this season (on 49 power-play chances) rank 21st in the NHL.
• Tampa Bay's 16.33% power-play conversion rate ranks 27th in the league.
• Tampa Bay has the league's 16th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (76.92%).
• Tampa Bay wins 47.7% of its faceoffs to rank 25th in the NHL.
• The Lightning make 12.4% of their shots (ninth in the league).

Blackhawks Key Stats

• Chicago has 36 goals this season (2.2 per game), 31st in the NHL.
• The Blackhawks allow 3.9 goals per game (63 in total), 31st in the league.
• Its -27 goal differential ranks 32nd in the league.
• With five power-play goals (on 50 chances), the Blackhawks are 32nd in the NHL.
• Chicago has the league's 32nd-ranked power-play percentage (10%).
• In terms of shorthanded goals, the Blackhawks have two.
• At 78.85%, Chicago has the 15th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• At 42.5%, Chicago has the league's 32nd-ranked faceoff win rate.
• The Blackhawks' 9.9% shooting percentage is 27th in the league.