UT Arlington vs. Tarleton State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Dec. 29

The UT Arlington Mavericks (8-4, 0-0 WAC) host the Tarleton State Texans (9-4, 0-0 WAC) at College Park Center, starting at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, December 29, 2025. The Mavericks are 2.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 139.5 points.

In its most recent game on Monday, UT Arlington earned a 69-57 victory against Oral Roberts. In UT Arlington's win, Marcell McCreary led the way with a team-high 16 points (adding three rebounds and one assist). Tarleton State is coming off of a 78-54 win over Florida A&M in its most recent outing on Friday. Leroy Kelly IV scored 18 points in Tarleton State's victory, leading the team.

UT Arlington vs. Tarleton State Odds and Game Time

• When: Monday, December 29, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: College Park Center in Arlington, Texas
• Spread favorite: UT Arlington -2.5
• Moneyline favorite: UT Arlington -149
• Moneyline underdog: Tarleton State +125
• Over/Under: 139.5 points

How to watch UT Arlington vs. Tarleton State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: UT Arlington vs. Tarleton State

• This season, UT Arlington and its opponents have combined to outscore Monday's over/under of 139.5 points three times.
• Six of Tarleton State's games have finished with a combined score higher than 139.5 points this season.
• The over/under for the contest of 139.5 is 13.8 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Mavericks (72.7) and Texans (80.6).
• These two teams surrender a combined 135.1 points per game, 4.4 points less than this contest's over/under.
• This season the average over/under for UT Arlington's games is 136.9 points, 2.6 lower than the over/under of 139.5 points set for this contest.
• Tarleton State's games have an average over/under of 151.5 points this season, 12.0 more points than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: UT Arlington vs. Tarleton State

• UT Arlington has six wins against the spread in 10 games this year.
• The Mavericks have always covered the spread this season when favored by 2.5 points or more.
• Against the spread, Tarleton State is 8-1-0 this season.
• The Texans have an against the spread record of 4-1 in their five games as an underdog of 2.5 points or more this season.
• At home, UT Arlington is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as a 2.5-point favorite or greater.
• Tarleton State is 2-4 overall, and 5-1 against the spread, in away games.
• On the road, Tarleton State is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 2.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: UT Arlington vs. Tarleton State

• This season, UT Arlington has been listed as the moneyline favorite in three games and won them all.
• The Mavericks have played as a favorite of -149 or more twice this season and won both games.
• The implied probability of a win from UT Arlington, based on the moneyline, is 59.8%.
• Tarleton State has come away with one win in the five contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Texans have a win-loss record of 1-4 with odds of +125 or worse this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Tarleton State has a 44.4% chance of walking away with the win.