Toledo vs. Detroit Mercy Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 14

The Toledo Rockets (1-3) play the Detroit Mercy Titans (0-2) as 11.5-point favorites on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 4 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The over/under is set at 153.5 in the matchup.

Their last time out, Toledo lost 76-68 to Wright State on Tuesday. Mynor Strong scored a team-leading 18 points for Toledo in the loss. Detroit Mercy is coming off of a 100-55 loss to Xavier in its most recent game on Tuesday. Greg Grays Jr. put up 14 points, three rebounds and one assist for Detroit Mercy.

Toledo vs. Detroit Mercy Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 4 p.m. ET
• Where: Calihan Hall in Detroit, Michigan
• Spread favorite: Toledo -11.5
• Moneyline favorite: Toledo -690
• Moneyline underdog: Detroit Mercy +466
• Over/Under: 153.5 points

How to watch Toledo vs. Detroit Mercy

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Toledo vs. Detroit Mercy

• Toledo played 16 games with over 153.5 points scored, its current matchup's over/under, last season.
• Last season, 16 of Detroit Mercy's 30 games had a combined total of more than 153.5 points scored.
• The Rockets and the Titans combined to average 4.7 more points per game a season ago than the over/under of 153.5 set for this game.
• Opponents of the two teams averaged a combined 0.4 more points per game last season (153.9) than this game's over/under of 153.5 points.
• The average point total in Toledo's games last year was 4.1 more points than the over/under of 153.5 in this matchup.
• The average total in Detroit Mercy's games in 2025 was 1.1 more points than the point total of 153.5 in this outing.

Betting the Spread: Toledo vs. Detroit Mercy

• Toledo covered 18 times in 32 matchups with a spread last season.
• The Rockets did not cover the spread last season (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 11.5-point favorites.
• Detroit Mercy put together a 21-9-0 ATS record last season.
• The Titans covered the spread three times last year (3-1 ATS) when playing as at least 11.5-point underdogs.
• At home last year, Detroit Mercy was 6-5 overall and 8-4 against the spread.
• On the road last season, Toledo was 9-5 against the spread and 5-9 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Toledo vs. Detroit Mercy

• Toledo won 13 of the 18 games it was favored on the moneyline last season (72.2%).
• The Rockets played as a moneyline favorite of -690 or shorter in only one game last season, which they won.
• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives Toledo an 87.3% chance to win.
• Last season, Detroit Mercy won 11 out of the 25 games, or 44%, in which it was the underdog.
• The Titans entered four games last season as an underdog by +466 or more and were 1-3 in those contests.
• Detroit Mercy has a 17.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.