TCU vs. Southern Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 6

The TCU Horned Frogs (1-0) take on the Southern Jaguars (0-1) as 23.5-point favorites on Friday, November 6, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup's over/under is 152.5.

TCU is coming off of a 98-59 win over Lindenwood in its last game on Monday. Micah Robinson put up 19 points, three rebounds and four assists for TCU. Southern enters this matchup after an 85-72 loss to SMU on Monday. R'Chaun King scored a team-best 12 points for Southern in the loss.

TCU vs. Southern Odds and Game Time

• When: Friday, November 6, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena in Fort Worth, Texas
• Spread favorite: TCU -23.5
• Moneyline favorite: TCU -10000
• Moneyline underdog: Southern +2400
• Over/Under: 152.5 points

How to watch TCU vs. Southern

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: TCU vs. Southern

• Last year, TCU's games finished over 152.5 points scored, its current matchup's point total, 13 (out of 35) times.
• Last year, 15 of Southern's 31 matchups went over 152.5 total points scored.
• The Horned Frogs and the Jaguars combined to average 4.5 more points per game a season ago than the total of 152.5 set for this matchup.
• Opponents of the two teams averaged a combined 2.5 fewer points per game (150) last season than this game's over/under of 152.5 points.
• TCU's average point total in outings last year was 149.5, 3.0 points below the over/under in this game.
• Southern's games in 2025 averaged an over/under of 157.6 points, 5.1 more than the point total in this matchup.

Betting the Spread: TCU vs. Southern

• TCU compiled a 20-15-0 ATS record last year.
• When playing as at least 23.5-point favorites last season, the Horned Frogs had an ATS record of 3-2.
• Southern went 13-18-0 ATS last season.
• The Jaguars covered the spread once when an underdog by 23.5 points or more last year (in four opportunities).
• At home last year, TCU was 14-5 overall and 9-10 against the spread.
• At home last season, TCU was 3-2 ATS as a 23.5-point favorite or more.
• In away games last season, Southern was 7-12 overall and 9-10 against the spread.

Betting the Moneyline: TCU vs. Southern

• TCU won 76.2% of the games last season in which it was the moneyline favorite (16-5).
• The Horned Frogs won all four games they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -10000 or shorter.
• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives TCU a 99.0% chance to win.
• Last season, Southern was the underdog 12 times and won three, or 25%, of those games.
• Last season, the Jaguars were at least a +2400 underdog on the moneyline three times, losing each of those contests.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 4.0% chance of a victory for Southern.