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Stars vs. Senators NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Nov. 30

30 November 2025 By Data Skrive

The Dallas Stars (16-5-4) host the Ottawa Senators (12-8-4) on Sunday, Nov. 30, with the Stars coming off a win in their last game and the Senators a loss. The bookmakers have made the Stars solid favorites at -142 on the moneyline, and the Senators are at +120.

Dallas secured a 4-3 home victory over the Utah Mammoth its last time out on Nov. 28. Mikko Rantanen (two assists) and Miro Heiskanen (two assists) each had two points for the Stars.

Ottawa's most recent game was a road loss, 4-3, to the St. Louis Blues on Nov. 28. Seven Senators skaters recorded one point each in that matchup, including Brady Tkachuk (one assist) and Michael Amadio (one assist).

To prepare for this matchup, here is who we project to secure the win in Sunday's hockey game.

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Stars vs. Senators Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming contest between the Dallas Stars and Ottawa Senators, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Senators 4 - Stars 3
  • Pick OU: Over 5.5 (Dunkel projecting 6.95 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Stars vs. Senators Moneylines

Snag a peek below at the most recent moneylines for the Stars-Senators matchup.

  • Favorite: Stars (-142)
  • Underdog: Senators (+120)

Stars Betting Insights

  • The Stars are 12-7 when favored on the moneyline this season.
  • Dallas is 6-5 when playing with moneyline odds of -142 or shorter (54.5% win percentage).
  • Based on the moneyline in this contest, the Stars' implied win probability is 58.7%.
  • Dallas and its opponent have gone over 5.5 combined goals in 14 of 25 games this season.

Senators Betting Insights

  • This season the Senators have been an underdog seven times, and won three of those games.
  • Ottawa has entered four games this season as the underdog by +120 or more and is 2-2 in those contests.
  • The moneyline in this contest implies a 45.5% chance of victory for the Senators.
  • Ottawa's games this season have had over 5.5 goals 14 of 24 times.

Stars Key Stats

  • Dallas' 85 total goals (3.4 per game) rank third in the league.
  • The Stars have given up 68 total goals (2.7 per game), the eighth-fewest in league action.
  • It has the league's fourth-best goal differential at +17.
  • The 27 power-play goals the Stars have recorded this season (on 85 power-play chances) lead the NHL.
  • Dallas has a league-best 31.76% power-play conversion rate.
  • Dallas' 78.48% penalty-kill success rate ranks 23rd in the league.
  • Dallas has the fifth-best faceoff win rate in the NHL, at 53%.
  • The Stars have a 13.1% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks second in the league.

Senators Key Stats

  • Ottawa's 75 goals on the season (3.1 per game) rank 15th in the NHL.
  • The Senators have given up 78 total goals this season (3.2 per game), 19th in the league.
  • it has the 19th-ranked goal differential in the league at -3.
  • The Senators have 17 power-play goals (ninth-most in NHL) on 75 chances.
  • Ottawa scores on 22.67% of its power plays, No. 10 in the league.
  • This season, the Senators have one shorthanded goal (19th in NHL).
  • Ottawa's has the 31st-ranked penalty-kill percentage (71.01%).
  • Ottawa wins 58.3% of faceoffs, tops in the NHL.
  • With a shooting percentage of 11.8%, the Senators are eighth in the league.

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