Stars vs. Golden Knights NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - April 22

The Dallas Stars and Vegas Golden Knights are coming off a win and a defeat, respectively, heading into their matchup at American Airlines Center on Monday at 9:30 PM ET. The Golden Knights are underdogs away from home, at +119, and the Stars are -140.

Dallas claimed a 2-1 home victory over the St. Louis Blues in its last game on April 17, taking the shootout 1-0. The Stars got one point apiece out of three players, including Mason Marchment (one goal) and Matt Duchene (one assist).

Vegas played at home its last time out on April 18, and fell 4-1 against the Anaheim Ducks. Shea Theodore (one assist) and William Karlsson (one assist) were among the three Golden Knights skaters who collected one point each in that matchup.

Here is our pick for who will secure the win in this NHL Playoffs First Round contest.

Stars vs. Golden Knights Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming contest between the Dallas Stars and Vegas Golden Knights, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Stars 3 - Golden Knights 1
• Pick OU: Under 5.5 (Dunkel projecting 4.04 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Stars vs. Golden Knights Moneylines

Grab a peek below at the latest moneylines for the Stars-Golden Knights game.

• Favorite: Stars (-140)
• Underdog: Golden Knights (+119)

Stars Betting Insights

• The Stars have won 66.7% of their games when favored on the moneyline this season (48-24).
• When it has played with moneyline odds of -140 or shorter, Dallas has put together a 34-11 record (winning 75.6% of its games).
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Stars have an implied probability of 58.3% to win.
• Dallas and its opponent have posted more than 5.5 goals in 48 of 82 games this season.

Golden Knights Betting Insights

• The Golden Knights have won 14, or 50.0%, of the 28 games they have played as an underdog this season.
• Vegas is 4-4 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +119 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline in this contest implies a 45.7% chance of victory for the Golden Knights.
• Vegas has combined with its opponent to score more than 5.5 goals in 44 of 82 games this season.

Stars Key Stats

• Dallas' 294 total goals (3.6 per game) make it the third-highest scoring team in the NHL.
• The Stars have conceded 232 total goals (2.8 per game), ranking eighth in NHL action for the fewest goals against.
• Its goal differential (+62) makes the team third-best in the league.
• The 58 power-play goals the Stars have recorded this season (ninth-most in the NHL) have come on 240 power-play chances.
• Dallas ranks sixth in the league with a 24.17% power-play conversion rate.
• The Stars have recorded 12 shorthanded goals this season (second among NHL teams).
• Dallas kills 82.01% of opponent power plays, the eighth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• Dallas wins 54.1% of its faceoffs to rank second in the NHL.
• The Stars connect on 11.4% of their shots (fourth in the league).

Golden Knights Key Stats

• With 263 goals (3.2 per game), Vegas has the league's 13th-ranked offense.
• The Golden Knights' total of 243 goals conceded (3.0 per game) is 11th in the league.
• With a goal differential of +20, the team is 13th in the league.
• With 51 power-play goals (on 252 chances), the Golden Knights are 17th in the NHL.
• Vegas scores on 20.24% of its power plays, No. 20 in the league.
• This season, the Golden Knights have nine shorthanded goals (ninth in NHL).
• At 79.34%, Vegas has the 17th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• Vegas is 17th in faceoff win percentage in the NHL (50.3%).
• With a shooting percentage of 10.3%, the Golden Knights are 13th in the league.