St. Thomas vs. Denver Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 4
04 January 2026

The Saint Thomas Tommies (11-4, 0-0 Summit League) host the Denver Pioneers (8-8, 1-0 Summit League) at Lee & Penny Anderson Arena, tipping off at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 4, 2026. The Tommies are 10.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup's point total is 161.5.
St. Thomas enters this contest on the heels of a 105-59 victory over North Central (MN) on Sunday. In the win, Nolan Minessale led St. Thomas with 22 points. Denver's last contest on Wednesday ended in an 87-74 victory over UMKC. Carson Johnson scored 23 points in Denver's victory, leading the team.
St. Thomas vs. Denver Odds and Game Time
- When: Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 1 p.m. ET
- Spread favorite: St. Thomas -10.5
- Moneyline favorite: St. Thomas -546
- Moneyline underdog: Denver +405
- Over/Under: 161.5 points
How to watch St. Thomas vs. Denver
- TV Channel: Summit League Network
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: St. Thomas vs. Denver
- St. Thomas and its opponents have combined to score more than 161.5 points in a game just twice this season.
- In Denver's 13 games this season, eight finished with more combined points than Sunday's point total of 161.5.
- Together, the two teams combine for 165 points per game, 3.5 points more than the total of 161.5 for this game.
- This matchup's point total is 6.8 fewer points than the 154.7 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
- This season the average over/under for St. Thomas' games is 150.8 points, 10.7 lower than the over/under of 161.5 points set for this contest.
- The over/under for this game is 7.4 points lower than the average over/under in Denver's games this season (168.9 points).
Betting the Spread: St. Thomas vs. Denver
- Against the spread, St. Thomas is 5-7-0 this season.
- The Tommies have covered the spread once this season when favored by 10.5 points or more (in four chances).
- In Denver's 13 games this season, it has nine wins against the spread.
- The Pioneers are 5-0 ATS when underdogs by 10.5 points or more this season.
- St. Thomas has two wins against the spread, and is 4-0 overall, at home this season.
- At home, St. Thomas has one win ATS (1-2) as a 10.5-point favorite or more.
- This season on the road, Denver is 7-2 against the spread and 3-6 overall.
Betting the Moneyline: St. Thomas vs. Denver
- This season, St. Thomas has been moneyline favorites nine times and won eight of those games.
- The Tommies have entered four games this season favored by -546 or more and are 3-1 in those contests.
- The implied probability of a win from St. Thomas, based on the moneyline, is 84.5%.
- Denver has come away with three wins in the nine contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
- This season, the Pioneers have been victorious one time in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +405 or worse on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Denver has a 19.8% chance of pulling out a win.
