South Florida vs. Wichita State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - AAC Tournament

The No. 1 seed South Florida Bulls (24-8, 15-3 AAC) are favored by 5.5 points against the No. 2 Wichita State Shockers (22-10, 13-5 AAC) in the championship game of the AAC tournament on Sunday at 3:15 p.m. ET, live on ESPN. The winner earns an automatic berth into the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under set at 147.5 points.

Their last time out, South Florida won on Saturday 86-64 against Charlotte. Wes Enis recorded 24 points, three rebounds and five assists for South Florida. Wichita State enters this contest following an 81-68 win over Tulsa on Saturday. Kenyon Giles scored a team-leading 27 points for Wichita State in the win.

South Florida vs. Wichita State Odds and Game Time

• When: Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 3:15 p.m. ET
• Where: Legacy Arena at BJCC in Birmingham, Alabama
• Spread favorite: South Florida -5.5
• Moneyline favorite: South Florida -249
• Moneyline underdog: Wichita State +202
• Over/Under: 147.5 points

How to watch South Florida vs. Wichita State

• TV Channel: ESPN
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: South Florida vs. Wichita State

• This season, 25 of South Florida's 31 games have gone over Sunday's over/under of 147.5 points.
• There have been 13 Wichita State games that ended with a combined score over 147.5 points this season.
• The over/under for the game of 147.5 is 19.1 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Bulls (88.3) and Shockers (78.3).
• The 146.6 points per game these two teams allow to opponents on average this season are 0.9 fewer than the 147.5 total in this contest.
• South Florida has a 164.4 average over/under in its games this season, 16.9 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• Wichita State's games have an average over/under of 148.8 points this season, 1.3 more points than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: South Florida vs. Wichita State

• In South Florida's 30 games this year, it has 16 wins against the spread.
• The Bulls have an against the spread record of 11-8 in their 19 games as a favorite of 5.5 points or more so far this season.
• Wichita State has played 30 games, with 20 wins against the spread.
• So far this year, the Shockers have been installed as underdogs by a 5.5-point margin or more four times and are 3-1 ATS in those games.
• At home this year, South Florida is 12-2 overall and 9-5 against the spread.
• At home, as a 5.5-point favorite or greater, South Florida is 7-5 ATS.
• Wichita State is 7-4 against the spread, and 7-4 overall, in away games.
• Wichita State has two wins ATS (2-2) on the road as 5.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: South Florida vs. Wichita State

• South Florida has won 21, or 80.8%, of the 26 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Bulls have a record of 15-3, a 83.3% win rate, when favored by -249 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that South Florida has a 71.3% chance to win.
• Wichita State has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 10 games this year and has walked away with the win four times (40%) in those games.
• This year, the Shockers have won one of four games when listed as at least +202 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Wichita State has a 33.1% chance of pulling out a win.