SFA vs. Abilene Christian Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 11
11 November 2026

The Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (2-0) visit the Abilene Christian Wildcats (1-1) at Moody Coliseum (Abilene), beginning at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 11, 2026. The Wildcats are 4.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup's over/under is 142.5.
SFA won its most recent game 89-32 against Texas Lutheran on Friday. Narit Chotikavanic totaled 10 points, four rebounds and one assist for SFA. In its most recent matchup on Saturday, Abilene Christian earned an 83-81 win against Lamar. In Abilene Christian's win, Isaac Dye led the way with 18 points (adding two rebounds and zero assists).
SFA vs. Abilene Christian Odds and Game Time
- When: Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
- Where: Moody Coliseum (Abilene) in Abilene, Texas
- Spread favorite: SFA -4.5
- Moneyline favorite: SFA -187
- Moneyline underdog: Abilene Christian +151
- Over/Under: 142.5 points
How to watch SFA vs. Abilene Christian
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: SFA vs. Abilene Christian
- SFA and its opponent combined to score over 142.5 points, the current matchup's point total, in 14 of 31 games last year.
- Last season, 16 of Abilene Christian's 30 matchups went over 142.5 total points scored.
- The Lumberjacks and the Wildcats combined to average 4.4 more points per game a season ago than the total of 142.5 set for this matchup.
- Opponents of the two teams averaged a combined 3.5 fewer points per game (139) last season than this matchup's over/under of 142.5 points.
- The average total SFA had set in matchups last year was 0.7 more points than this outing's point total.
- The average total for Abilene Christian's games in 2025 was 0.2 more points than the point total of 142.5 in this outing.
Betting the Spread: SFA vs. Abilene Christian
- SFA covered 22 times in 31 chances against the spread last season.
- The Lumberjacks were favored by 4.5 points or more 21 times last season, and covered the spread in 15 of those contests.
- Abilene Christian went 13-17-0 ATS last season.
- The Wildcats had an ATS record of 5-3 when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs last year.
- At home last season, Abilene Christian was 6-5 overall and 4-7 against the spread.
- At home last season, Abilene Christian was winless ATS (0-4) as a 4.5-point underdog or greater.
- Away from home last season, SFA was 12-3 overall and 12-3 against the spread.
- As a 4.5-point favorite or more away from home, SFA was 7-1 ATS.
Betting the Moneyline: SFA vs. Abilene Christian
- SFA finished 22-2 in games it was listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 91.7% of those games).
- The Lumberjacks went 20-1 when they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -187 or shorter (95.2%).
- Based on this matchup's moneyline, SFA's implied win probability is 65.2%.
- Last season, Abilene Christian won four out of the 17 games, or 23.5%, in which it was the underdog.
- The Wildcats entered nine games last season as an underdog by +151 or more and were 2-7 in those contests.
- Abilene Christian has a 39.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
