Lightning vs. Sabres NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Nov. 11

The Tampa Bay Lightning (11-4-2) visit the Buffalo Sabres (8-6-3) on Wednesday, Nov. 11, with both teams coming off a loss. The Sabres are underdogs despite being at home, at +110, and the Lightning are -130.

Tampa Bay suffered a 4-3 defeat on the road its last time out on Nov. 8 against the Winnipeg Jets. The Lightning were led by Erik Cernak (two assists) and Pontus Holmberg (two goals).

Buffalo lost 4-1 at home against the Vegas Golden Knights in its most recent game on Nov. 8. Beck Malenstyn (one goal) and Tyson Kozak (one assist) were among the three Sabres players who collected one point each in that matchup.

As hockey action continues, get ready for the matchup by checking out which team we project to capture the win in Wednesday's game.

Lightning vs. Sabres Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming contest between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Buffalo Sabres, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Sabres 4 - Lightning 3
• Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Lightning vs. Sabres Moneylines

Take a peek below at the most recent moneylines for the Lightning-Sabres game.

• Favorite: Lightning (-130)
• Underdog: Sabres (+110)

Lightning Betting Insights

• The Lightning are 10-4 when favored on the moneyline this season.
• When it has played with moneyline odds of -130 or shorter, Tampa Bay is 10-4 (winning 71.4% of the time).
• The implied moneyline probability for this game says the Lightning have a 56.5% chance to win.
• Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined to score more than 6.5 goals in nine of 17 games this season.

Sabres Betting Insights

• The Sabres have been an underdog in eight games this season, and won two (25.0%).
• Buffalo has played as a moneyline underdog of +110 or longer twice this season. They lost both games.
• The implied probability of a win by the Sabres, based on the moneyline, is 47.6%.
• Buffalo has played nine games this season that finished with more than 6.5 goals.

Lightning Key Stats

• Tampa Bay's 63 total goals (3.7 per game) make it the ninth-highest scoring team in the league.
• The Lightning have given up 52 total goals (3.1 per game), the ninth-fewest in NHL play.
• It has the league's eighth-best goal differential at +11.
• The 12 power-play goals the Lightning have scored this season (on 62 power-play chances) rank 15th in the NHL.
• Tampa Bay is 21st in the league with a 19.35% power-play conversion rate.
• Tampa Bay's 72.92% penalty-kill success rate ranks 25th in the league.
• Tampa Bay has the 20th-ranked faceoff win percentage in the NHL, at 49.2%.
• The Lightning make 12.4% of their shots (eighth in the league).

Sabres Key Stats

• Buffalo has 50 goals this season (2.9 per game), 23rd in the league.
• The Sabres' total of 56 goals conceded (3.3 per game) is 17th in the league.
• With a goal differential of -6, the team is 22nd in the league.
• The Sabres have eight power-play goals (27th in NHL) on 56 chances.
• Buffalo scores on 14.29% of its power plays, No. 30 in the league.
• In terms of shorthanded goal, the Sabres have one.
• The 71.19% penalty-kill percentage of Buffalo is 26th in the NHL.
• At 45.3%, Buffalo has the NHL's 31st-ranked faceoff win rate.
• With a shooting percentage of 10.4%, the Sabres are 24th in the league.