Senators vs. Maple Leafs NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Dec. 27

The Ottawa Senators (18-13-5) visit the Toronto Maple Leafs (16-15-5) on Saturday, Dec. 27, with the Senators coming off a defeat and the Maple Leafs a victory. The Maple Leafs are underdogs despite being the hosts, at +105, and the Senators are -125.

Ottawa's most recent game was a 3-2 overtime home loss against the Buffalo Sabres on Dec. 23. Claude Giroux (one assist) and Tim Stutzle (one goal) were among the five Senators players who collected one point each.

In its most recent game on Dec. 23, Toronto claimed a 6-3 home victory against the Pittsburgh Penguins. William Nylander's four points (two goals and two assists) in that outing led the Maple Leafs.

As hockey action continues, prepare for the matchup by checking out which squad we project to pick up the victory in Saturday's game.

Senators vs. Maple Leafs Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming game between the Ottawa Senators and Toronto Maple Leafs, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Senators 3 - Maple Leafs 2
• Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 5.05 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Senators vs. Maple Leafs Moneylines

Snag a peek below at the latest moneylines for the Senators-Maple Leafs matchup.

• Favorite: Senators (-125)
• Underdog: Maple Leafs (+105)

Senators Betting Insights

• The Senators have gone 13-12 this season when listed as a moneyline favorite.
• Ottawa is 10-8 in games it has played with moneyline odds of -125 or shorter (55.6% win percentage).
• The Senators have a 55.6% chance (based on the moneyline's implied probability) to win this matchup.
• Ottawa and its opponent have posted more than 6.5 goals in 19 of 36 games this season.

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

• The Maple Leafs have been made an underdog 13 times this season, and won four, or 30.8%, of those games.
• This season Toronto has won three of its 10 games, or 30.0%, when it's the underdog by at least +105 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win by the Maple Leafs, based on the moneyline, is 48.8%.
• Toronto has played 21 games this season that ended with more than 6.5 goals.

Senators Key Stats

• Ottawa ranks 11th in the league with 116 goals scored (3.2 per game).
• The Senators have conceded 113 total goals (3.1 per game), ranking 18th in league play in goals against.
• Its goal differential (+3) ranks 12th in the league.
• The 31 power-play goals the Senators have put up this season (on 117 power-play chances) are the third-most in the NHL.
• Ottawa has the league's fourth-best power-play conversion rate (26.5%).
• The Senators have scored two shorthanded goals this season (17th among NHL teams).
• Ottawa kills 71.72% of opponent power plays, the 31st-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• Ottawa wins 56.6% of its faceoffs to rank second in the NHL.
• The Senators connect on 11.5% of their shots (eighth in the league).

Maple Leafs Key Stats

• Toronto has 115 goals this season (3.2 per game), 13th in the NHL.
• The Maple Leafs' total of 120 goals given up (3.3 per game) is 22nd in the league.
• it has the 20th-ranked goal differential in the league at -5.
• With 12 power-play goals (on 92 chances), the Maple Leafs are 32nd in the NHL.
• Toronto has the NHL's 32nd-ranked power-play percentage (13.04%).
• This season, the Maple Leafs have two shorthanded goals (17th in NHL).
• Toronto's has the fifth-best penalty-kill percentage (83.33%).
• At 57%, Toronto has the NHL's top faceoff win rate.
• The Maple Leafs' 11.9% shooting percentage is third in the league.