Mariners vs. Padres Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - May 15

Luke Raley brings a two-game homer streak into the Seattle Mariners' game versus the San Diego Padres at 9:40 p.m. ET on Friday, at T-Mobile Park. Emerson Hancock (3-1, 3.21 ERA) will start for the Mariners, who are 22-23 this season and second in the AL West. Randy Vasquez (4-1, 3.05 ERA) is expected to start for the Padres, who are 25-18 and second in the NL West.

At home, the Mariners are favored to win on the moneyline (-132) over the Padres (+110). The total for this contest is set at 7.

Mariners vs. Padres Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Friday, May 15, 2026
• Game time: 9:40 p.m. ET
• Location: Seattle, Washington
• Stadium: T-Mobile Park
• Favorite: Mariners (-132)
• Underdog: Padres (+110)
• Over/under: 7

How to Watch Mariners vs. Padres

• TV Channel: SEAM and SDPA
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Mariners vs. Padres: Betting the Moneyline

• The Mariners have won 21 of the 41 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (51.2%).
• San Diego has won in nine, or 52.9%, of the 17 contests it has been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• Seattle has entered 31 games this season favored by -132 or more and is 19-12 in those contests.
• This season, the Padres have been victorious five times in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least +110 or longer on the moneyline.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Mariners have an implied win probability of 56.9%.
• The Padres have an implied victory probability of 47.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Mariners vs. Padres: Betting the Spread & Total

• The Mariners have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 20 times this season for a 20-24-1 record against the over/under.
• San Diego's games have gone over the total in 18 of its 43 chances.
• The Mariners have covered just 37.8% of their games this season, going 17-28-0 against the spread.
• The Padres have an against the spread mark of 23-20-0 in 43 games with a line this season.