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Padres vs. Marlins Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - Sept. 20

20 September 2026 By Data Skrive

The San Diego Padres have a 2-0 series lead, hoping to sweep the Miami Marlins on Sunday at Petco Park, at 4:10 p.m. ET. Walker Buehler (8-6, 4.58 ERA) gets the start for the Padres, who are 86-69 this season and second in the NL West. Sandy Alcantara (13-10, 3.84 ERA) is the expected starter for the Marlins, who are 76-79 and third in the NL East.

With the Marlins (+126) visiting, the Padres (-155) are a solid favorite on the moneyline. The total in this contest is set at 7.5.

Padres vs. Marlins Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Sunday, September 20, 2026
  • Game time: 4:10 p.m. ET
  • Location: San Diego, California
  • Stadium: Petco Park
  • Favorite: Padres (-155)
  • Underdog: Marlins (+126)
  • Over/under: 7.5

How to Watch Padres vs. Marlins

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Padres vs. Marlins: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Padres have been favored on the moneyline 78 total times this season. They've finished 48-30 in those games.
  • Miami has come away with 35 wins in the 88 contests it has been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season San Diego has won 19 of its 26 games, or 73.1%, when favored by at least -155 on the moneyline.
  • This season, the Marlins have been victorious seven times in 26 chances when named as an underdog of at least +126 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Based on this contest's moneyline, the Padres have an implied win probability of 60.8%.
  • The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 44.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Padres vs. Marlins: Betting the Spread & Total

  • In the 155 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Padres, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 73 times (73-77-5).
  • Miami's games have gone over the total in 79 of its 155 chances.
  • The Padres have collected an 87-68-0 record ATS this season (covering 56.1% of the time).
  • The Marlins have an against the spread mark of 78-77-0 in 155 games with a line this season.
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