Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Dec. 28

The Detroit Red Wings (22-14-3) will host the Toronto Maple Leafs (17-15-5) on Sunday at 7 p.m. ET, in a matchup featuring two teams at opposite ends of the Eastern Conference. Red Wings (-142) versus Maple Leafs (+120) has a clear favorite, according to the moneyline odds.

Detroit's last game was a 5-2 road loss against the Carolina Hurricanes on Dec. 27. Five Red Wings skaters recorded one point each, including Axel Sandin Pellikka (one assist) and Andrew Copp (one goal).

In its most recent game on Dec. 27, Toronto claimed a 7-5 home victory over the Ottawa Senators. Three Maple Leafs skaters recorded three points each in that matchup, including Matthew Knies (two goals and one assist) and Auston Matthews (one goal and two assists).

Prepare for this showdown with a glimpse at who we predict will come out on top in Sunday's contest.

Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming game between the Detroit Red Wings and Toronto Maple Leafs, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Red Wings 4 - Maple Leafs 3
• Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7.02 goals)
  

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Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs Moneylines

Grab a peek below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Red Wings-Maple Leafs game.

• Favorite: Red Wings (-142)
• Underdog: Maple Leafs (+120)

Red Wings Betting Insights

• In the 19 times this season the Red Wings have been favored on the moneyline, they have finished 11-8 in those games.
• Detroit is 5-4 when playing with moneyline odds of -142 or shorter (55.6% win percentage).
• The implied moneyline probability in this game says the Red Wings have a 58.7% chance to win.
• Detroit and its opponent have combined to score more than 6.5 goals in 19 of 39 games this season.

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

• The Maple Leafs have been listed as an underdog 14 times this season, and won five, or 35.7%, of those games.
• Toronto has entered six games this season as the underdog by +120 or more and is 2-4 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a win by the Maple Leafs, based on the moneyline, is 45.5%.
• Toronto has played 22 games this season that finished with more than 6.5 goals.

Red Wings Key Stats

• Detroit's 120 total goals (3.1 per game) rank 12th in the league.
• The Red Wings rank 25th in goals against, allowing 125 total goals (3.2 per game) in NHL action.
• Its -5 goal differential ranks 17th in the league.
• The 30 power-play goals the Red Wings have put up this season (on 119 power-play chances) are the fourth-most in the NHL.
• Detroit's 25.21% power-play conversion rate is the eighth-best in the league.
• Detroit has the league's 17th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (80.58%).
• Detroit wins the 10th-highest percentage of faceoffs in the NHL, 51.6%.
• The Red Wings shoot 10.6% as a team (19th in the league).

Maple Leafs Key Stats

• With 122 goals (3.3 per game), Toronto has the NHL's fifth-best offense.
• The Maple Leafs give up 3.4 goals per game (125 in total), 25th in the league.
• With a goal differential of -3, the team is 16th in the league.
• The Maple Leafs have 14 power-play goals (on 95 chances), 32nd in the NHL.
• Toronto's power-play percentage (14.74) ranks the team 30th in the league.
• In terms of shorthanded goals, the Maple Leafs have two.
• The 83.51% penalty-kill percentage of Toronto is fifth in the league.
• Toronto wins 56.7% of faceoffs, No. 1 in the NHL.
• The Maple Leafs' 12.2% shooting percentage is third in the league.