Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - May 7

The Pittsburgh Pirates and Arizona Diamondbacks play a rubber match on Thursday at 3:40 p.m. ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1. Mitch Keller (3-1, 2.85 ERA) will start for the Pirates, who are 20-17 this season and fourth in the NL Central. Zac Gallen (1-2, 4.45 ERA) is expected to start for the Diamondbacks, who are 17-18 and third in the NL West.

Despite playing on the road, the Pirates are still a decent moneyline favorite (-130) over the Diamondbacks (+109). The total for the Pirates-Diamondbacks game is set at 7.5.

Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Thursday, May 7, 2026
• Game time: 3:40 p.m. ET
• Location: Phoenix, Arizona
• Stadium: Chase Field
• Favorite: Pirates (-130)
• Underdog: Diamondbacks (+109)
• Over/under: 7.5

How to Watch Pirates vs. Diamondbacks

• TV Channel: ARID and SportsNet PT
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Pirates vs. Diamondbacks: Betting the Moneyline

• The Pirates have won 15 of the 23 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (65.2%).
• Arizona has won in nine, or 37.5%, of the 24 contests it has been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• Pittsburgh has a record of 7-7, a 50% win rate, when favored by -130 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• This year, the Diamondbacks have won nine of 18 games when listed as at least +109 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Pirates have a 56.5% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability.
• The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 47.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Pirates vs. Diamondbacks: Betting the Spread & Total

• The Pirates have played in 37 games with set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 20 times (20-16-1).
• Arizona and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 20 of its 35 opportunities.
• The Pirates have a 19-18-0 record ATS this season.
• In 35 games with a line this season, the Diamondbacks have a mark of 23-12-0 against the spread.