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Phillies vs. Marlins Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - May 4

04 May 2026 By Data Skrive

The Philadelphia Phillies visit the Miami Marlins on Monday at loanDepot park, at 6:40 p.m. ET. Aaron Nola (1-3, 6.03 ERA) will start for the Phillies, who are 14-20 this season and fourth in the NL East. Janson Junk (2-2, 3.00 ERA) is expected to start for the Marlins, who are 16-18 and second in the NL East.

With moneyline odds of -114 for the Phillies and -105 for the Marlins, this could be a close contest. The total for the Phillies-Marlins game is 8.5.

Phillies vs. Marlins Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Monday, May 4, 2026
  • Game time: 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Stadium: loanDepot park
  • Favorite: Phillies (-114)
  • Underdog: Marlins (-105)
  • Over/under: 8.5

How to Watch Phillies vs. Marlins

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Phillies vs. Marlins: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Phillies have been favored on the moneyline 25 total times this season. They've gone 13-12 in those games.
  • Miami has won in four, or 25%, of the 16 contests it has been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Philadelphia has entered 25 games this season favored by -114 or more and is 13-12 in those contests.
  • The Marlins have a mark of 4-11 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -105 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Phillies' implied win probability is 53.3%.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 51.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Phillies vs. Marlins: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Phillies have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 34 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 17 of those games (17-15-2).
  • Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 20 of its 34 opportunities.
  • The Phillies have collected a 7-27-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Marlins have an against the spread mark of 16-18-0 in 34 games with a line this season.
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