Penn State vs. Mercyhurst Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 12

The Penn State Nittany Lions (2-1) host the Mercyhurst Lakers (1-2) at Bryce Jordan Center, tipping off at 6:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, November 12, 2026. The Lakers are 20.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 147.5.

Penn State is coming off of an 82-76 loss to Pittsburgh in its last outing on Sunday. Dasonte Bowen totaled 17 points, zero rebounds and two assists for Penn State. Mercyhurst heads into this contest after an 89-50 victory over Penn State-Shenango on Saturday. Deraje Agbaosi recorded 18 points, 14 rebounds and one assist for Mercyhurst.

Penn State vs. Mercyhurst Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 6:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Bryce Jordan Center in University Park, Pennsylvania
• Spread favorite: Penn State -20.5
• Moneyline favorite: Penn State -5882
• Moneyline underdog: Mercyhurst +1700
• Over/Under: 147.5 points

How to watch Penn State vs. Mercyhurst

• TV Channel: B1G+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Penn State vs. Mercyhurst

• Penn State and its opponent combined to score over 147.5 points, the current matchup's total, in 21 of 32 games last year.
• Mercyhurst played nine games last season (28.1% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 147.5 points.
• The two teams averaged a combined 4.5 fewer points per game (143) a season ago than this game's over/under of 147.5 points.
• Opponents of the two teams averaged a combined 0.8 fewer points per game (146.7) last season than this matchup's over/under of 147.5 points.
• The average point total for Penn State's games last year was 5.5 more points than the total of 147.5 in this matchup.
• The average point total for Mercyhurst in 2025 was 10.8 points lower than this game's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Penn State vs. Mercyhurst

• Penn State won 12 games against the spread last season, while failing to cover 20 times.
• The Nittany Lions did not cover the spread last season (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 20.5-point favorites.
• Mercyhurst compiled a 21-11-0 record against the spread last season.
• The Lakers were an underdog by 20.5 points or more four times last year, and covered the spread in three of those contests.
• At home last year, Penn State was 7-10 against the spread and 9-8 overall.
• At home last year, as a 20.5-point favorite or more, Penn State was winless ATS (0-1).
• Mercyhurst was 12-7 against the spread, and 5-13 overall, away from home last season.

Betting the Moneyline: Penn State vs. Mercyhurst

• Penn State won 81.8% of the games last season in which it was favored on the moneyline (9-2).
• The Nittany Lions played as a moneyline favorite of -5882 or shorter in only one game last season, which they won.
• Penn State has a 98.3% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.
• Mercyhurst won three, or 20%, of the 15 games it played as underdogs last season.
• The Lakers entered four games last season as an underdog by +1700 or more and were 1-3 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 5.6% chance of a victory for Mercyhurst.