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Penguins vs. Canadiens NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Dec. 21

21 December 2025 By Data Skrive

Two clubs at different ends of the Eastern Conference will meet when the Montreal Canadiens (19-12-4, fourth place) visit the Pittsburgh Penguins (14-11-9, 13th) on Sunday at 7 p.m. ET. Penguins (-115) versus Canadiens (-105) appears pretty close, according to the moneyline odds.

Pittsburgh was handed a 4-0 defeat on the road its last time out on Dec. 20 against the Montreal Canadiens. Arturs Silovs saved zero Canadiens shots while allowing zero goals.

Montreal won at home in its last game on Dec. 20, 4-0 over the Pittsburgh Penguins. Josh Anderson had two points (two goals) in that matchup for the Canadiens.

Here's our prediction for who will secure the victory in Sunday's game.

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Penguins vs. Canadiens Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming contest between the Pittsburgh Penguins and Montreal Canadiens, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Canadiens 5 - Penguins 2
  • Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7.02 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Penguins vs. Canadiens Moneylines

Take a look below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Penguins-Canadiens matchup.

  • Favorite: Penguins (-115)
  • Underdog: Canadiens (-105)

Penguins Betting Insights

  • The Penguins have won 27.3% of their games when they've been a moneyline favorite this season (3-8).
  • Pittsburgh is 3-7 (winning only 30.0% of its games) when playing with moneyline odds of -115 or shorter.
  • The Penguins have a 53.5% chance (based on the moneyline's implied probability) to win this game.
  • Pittsburgh's games this season have finished above this matchup's total of 6.5 goals 16 times.

Canadiens Betting Insights

  • This season the Canadiens have been an underdog 18 times, and won nine, or 50.0%, of those games.
  • Montreal is 9-8 this season when entering a game as the underdog by -105 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Canadiens, based on the moneyline, is 51.2%.
  • Montreal's games this season have had more than 6.5 goals 20 of 35 times.

Penguins Key Stats

  • Pittsburgh's 103 total goals (3.0 per game) make it the 17th-ranked scoring team in the NHL.
  • The Penguins have conceded 105 total goals (3.1 per game), ranking 14th in NHL play in goals against.
  • It has the league's 17th-ranked goal differential at -2.
  • The 28 power-play goals the Penguins have scored this season (fourth-most in the NHL) have come on 95 power-play chances.
  • Pittsburgh is third in the league with a 29.47% power-play conversion rate.
  • The one shorthanded goal the Penguins have scored this season rank 24th among NHL teams.
  • Pittsburgh has the league's 18th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (80.39%).
  • Pittsburgh wins 50.2% of its faceoffs to rank 16th in the NHL.
  • The Penguins have a 10.7% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks 16th in the league.

Canadiens Key Stats

  • With 112 goals (3.2 per game), Montreal has the NHL's 10th-best offense.
  • The Canadiens have conceded 116 total goals this season (3.3 per game), 24th in the NHL.
  • Its -4 goal differential ranks 20th in the league.
  • The Canadiens have 25 power-play goals (ninth-most in NHL) on 95 chances.
  • Montreal's power-play percentage (26.32) puts the team fourth in the league.
  • In terms of shorthanded goals, the Canadiens have three.
  • At 77.88%, Montreal has the 24th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Montreal wins 49.4% of faceoffs, 20th-ranked in the NHL.
  • With a shooting percentage of 12.7%, the Canadiens are second in the league.

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