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Penguins vs. Canadiens NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Dec. 11

11 December 2025 By Data Skrive

The Pittsburgh Penguins (14-7-7) host the Montreal Canadiens (15-11-3) on Thursday, Dec. 11, with both teams coming off a defeat. The Canadiens are small underdogs, at +102, and the Penguins are -122.

Pittsburgh suffered a 4-3 home loss against the Anaheim Ducks its last time out on Dec. 9, falling in the shootout 1-0. Erik Karlsson's two points (two assists) led the Penguins.

Montreal's most recent game was a home loss, 6-1, to the Tampa Bay Lightning on Dec. 9. Three Canadiens players recorded one point each in that matchup, including Ivan Demidov (one assist) and Nicholas Suzuki (one assist).

Get ready for this matchup by checking out our prediction for who will win the game in Thursday's hockey action.

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Penguins vs. Canadiens Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming game between the Pittsburgh Penguins and Montreal Canadiens, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Canadiens 3 - Penguins 2
  • Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 5.05 goals)

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Penguins vs. Canadiens Moneylines

Snag a peek below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Penguins-Canadiens game.

  • Favorite: Penguins (-122)
  • Underdog: Canadiens (+102)

Penguins Betting Insights

  • The Penguins have been victorious in three of their nine games when they were listed as a moneyline favorite this season (33.3%).
  • When it has played with moneyline odds of -122 or shorter, Pittsburgh is 2-2 (winning 50.0% of the time).
  • The Penguins have a 55.0% chance (based on the moneyline's implied probability) to win this game.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponent have gone over 6.5 combined goals in 13 of 28 games this season.

Canadiens Betting Insights

  • This season the Canadiens have been an underdog 15 times, and won seven, or 46.7%, of those games.
  • Montreal is 6-6 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +102 or more on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Canadiens have a 49.5% chance to win.
  • Montreal's games this season have had more than 6.5 goals 19 of 29 times.

Penguins Key Stats

  • Pittsburgh's 88 total goals (3.1 per game) rank 18th in the league.
  • The Penguins have conceded 76 total goals (2.7 per game), ranking fourth in league action for the fewest goals against.
  • It has the league's sixth-best goal differential at +12.
  • The 23 power-play goals the Penguins have recorded this season (on 71 power-play chances) are the third-most in the NHL.
  • Pittsburgh's 32.39% power-play conversion rate leads the league.
  • The one shorthanded goal the Penguins have scored this season rank 22nd among NHL teams.
  • Pittsburgh's 85.19% penalty-kill success rate is the fourth-best in the league.
  • Pittsburgh wins 50.1% of its faceoffs (14th in NHL).
  • The Penguins shoot 11.3% as a team (13th in the league).

Canadiens Key Stats

  • Montreal has 91 goals this season (3.1 per game), 12th in the NHL.
  • The Canadiens' total of 103 goals given up (3.6 per game) is 26th in the NHL.
  • it has the 24th-ranked goal differential in the league at -12.
  • The Canadiens have 21 power-play goals (on 82 chances), ninth in the NHL.
  • Montreal's power-play percentage (25.61) puts the team fourth in the league.
  • The Canadiens have two shorthanded goals (13th in league).
  • Montreal's has the 26th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (77.17%).
  • At 50.3%, Montreal has the NHL's 13th-ranked faceoff win percentage.
  • The Canadiens' 12.4% shooting percentage is third in the league.

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