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Patrick Mahomes vs. Colts - NFL - Player Props, Lines and Trends

19 September 2026 By Data Skrive

Patrick Mahomes hits the field in Sunday's game, which starts at 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock, with several player prop bets available to wager on. The Week 2 outing sees Mahomes' Kansas City Chiefs (1-0) take the field at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri against the Indianapolis Colts (0-1).

Keep reading for more Dunkel stats, insights and trends.

Patrick Mahomes Player Props

Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
220.5 -113 1.5 -115 18.5 -108 +320

Mahomes Passing Insights

  • Compared to his 220.5-yard passing yards prop total for this matchup, Mahomes recorded more yards per game (256.2) last season.
  • Mahomes racked up more than 220.5 passing yards 11 times last season in 14 games played.
  • Mahomes' passing yards total per game of 256.2 last season was higher than his average prop bet total (255.8) by 0.4 yards.
  • Mahomes hit the over on his passing yards total in seven games last season (50.0% of total opportunities).
  • Mahomes had a passing touchdown in 10 of 14 games last season, with multiple passing TDs in five of them.
  • In eight of 14 games last year, Mahomes threw at least one interception, including two games with multiple INTs.

Mahomes Rushing Insights

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  • Sunday's rushing yards over/under for Mahomes is 18.5. That's 11.6 fewer yards than his average of 30.1 last year.
  • On nine occasions last year (out of 14 total games, or 64.3%), Mahomes had more than 18.5 rushing yards.
  • Mahomes' average rushing yards over/under last year was 24.1, which he outpaced by 6.0 yards per game.
  • Mahomes hit his rushing yards over in 64.3% of his opportunities (nine of 14 games) last year.
  • Mahomes ran for a touchdown in five games last season, but did not score more than one in a single game.

Indianapolis Colts Rankings (2025)

  • The 247.9 passing yards the Colts gave up per game last season made them the NFL's 30th-ranked pass defense.
  • At 1.4 passing TDs conceded per game last season, the Colts' defense was ranked 12th in the league.
  • Opposing quarterbacks threw 14 interceptions against the Colts last season (0.8 per game). The Colts' defense was ranked 10th in that category.

For more expert NFL prop picks and best bets, visit Dunkel Index Best NFL Player Props today.

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