Patrick Mahomes vs. Broncos - NFL - Player Props, Lines and Trends
13 September 2026
Patrick Mahomes hits the field in Monday's game, which starts at 8:15 p.m. ET on ABC/ESPN, with several player prop bets available to wager on. Mahomes and his Kansas City Chiefs (0-0) have a Week 1 game against the Denver Broncos (0-0) at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
Keep reading for more Dunkel stats, insights and trends.Patrick Mahomes Player Props
| Pass Yds Over/Under | Pass Yds Over Payout | Pass TDs Over/Under | Pass TDs Over Payout | Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 223.5 | -112 | 1.5 | +103 | 14.5 | -118 | +600 |
Mahomes Passing Insights
- Monday's passing yards prop bet for Mahomes is 223.5, 32.7 yards fewer than his average of 256.2 last year.
- He threw for more than 223.5 yards in 11 of 14 games last year (78.6%).
- Mahomes' passing yard average of 256.2 last season was 0.4 yards higher than his average passing yards over/under of 255.8.
- Mahomes exceeded his passing yards prop bet total in seven games last season, or 50.0% of games with a prop available.
- In 10 of 14 games last season, Mahomes threw a touchdown pass. And five of those games included multiple TD passes.
- In eight of 14 games last year, Mahomes threw at least one interception, including two games with multiple INTs.
Mahomes Rushing Insights
- Mahomes recorded 30.1 rushing yards per game over the course of last season, 15.6 greater than Monday's prop total.
- In 10 of 14 games last season (71.4%) Mahomes racked up more than 14.5 rushing yards.
- Mahomes' rushing yards average of 30.1 per game last year was 6.0 more than his 24.1 average over/under.
- Mahomes hit the over on his rushing yards total in nine games (64.3%) out of 14 opportunities last year.
- Mahomes ran for a touchdown in five games last year, but did not score more than one in a single game.
Denver Broncos Rankings (2025)
- The Broncos had the NFL's seventh-ranked pass defense last year, surrendering 187.2 yards per game through the air.
- With 18 passing TDs conceded last year, the Broncos' defense was ranked fourth in the NFL.
- Opposing quarterbacks tossed 10 interceptions against the Broncos last year (0.6 per game). The Broncos' defense was ranked 18th in that category.
For more expert NFL prop picks and best bets, visit Dunkel Index Best NFL Player Props today.
