Patrick Mahomes vs. Broncos - NFL - Player Props, Lines and Trends

Patrick Mahomes has player props available on Monday when he suits up at 8:15 p.m. ET live on ABC/ESPN. Mahomes and his Kansas City Chiefs (0-0) have a Week 1 matchup with the Denver Broncos (0-0) at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.

Patrick Mahomes Player Props

Mahomes Passing Insights

• Mahomes' passing yards per game last season (256.2) was 30.7 yards more than Monday's over/under.
• In 10 of 14 matchups last year, Mahomes threw for more than 225.5 yards.
• Mahomes' 256.2 passing yards per game last year were 0.4 yards higher than his average prop bet (255.8).
• Mahomes exceeded his passing yards prop bet total in seven games last year, or 50.0% of games with a prop available.
• In 10 of 14 games last season, Mahomes threw a touchdown pass. And five of those games included multiple TD passes.
• In eight of 14 games last season, Mahomes threw at least one interception, including two games with multiple INTs.

Mahomes Rushing Insights

• Monday's rushing yards over/under for Mahomes is 14.5. That is 15.6 fewer yards than his average of 30.1 last year.
• On 10 occasions last year (out of 14 total games, or 71.4%), Mahomes had more than 14.5 rushing yards.
• Mahomes outpaced his season rushing yards prop bet average (24.1) by 6.0 yards last season.
• Mahomes hit the over on his rushing yards total set by bookmakers in nine of his 14 opportunities last season (64.3%).
• Mahomes ran for a touchdown in five games last season, but did not score more than one in a single game.

Denver Broncos Rankings (2025)

• The Broncos had the NFL's seventh-ranked pass defense last year, yielding 187.2 yards per game through the air.
• The Broncos gave up 18 passing TDs last year (1.1 per game), ranking them fourth among NFL defenses.
• The Broncos were 18th in the NFL in interceptions last year, with 10.

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