Thunder vs. Timberwolves Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - March 15

Anthony Edwards and the Minnesota Timberwolves (41-26) play Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Oklahoma City Thunder (52-15) on March 15, 2026 at Paycom Center.

The Thunder are currently solid 8.5-point favorites over the Timberwolves. The over/under is 225.5 points for the game.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Sunday, March 15, 2026
• Game time: 1 p.m. ET
• Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Arena: Paycom Center
• Total: 225.5 points
• Spread: Thunder -8.5
• Moneyline: Thunder (-375), Timberwolves (+300)

How to watch Thunder vs. Timberwolves

• TV Channel: ABC

Betting the Over/Under: Thunder vs. Timberwolves

• The Thunder's 67 games this season have gone over this contest's total of 225.5 points 33 times.
• The Timberwolves and their opponents have combined to score more than 225.5 points in 47 of 67 games this season.
• These two teams score 237.3 points per game combined, 11.8 more than this game's point total.
• These teams surrender 222.9 points per game combined, 2.6 points fewer than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Thunder vs. Timberwolves

• Oklahoma City has compiled a 31-35-1 record against the spread this season.
• The Thunder have been favored by 8.5 points or more 45 times this season, and covered the spread in 22 of those matchups.
• The Timberwolves have covered 29 times in 67 chances against the spread this season.
• Minnesota has covered the spread when playing as at least 8.5-point underdogs in its only opportunity this season.
• The Thunder are 15-20 against the spread, and 28-7 overall, at home this season.
• This year, as a 8.5-point favorite or greater at home, Oklahoma City is 12-15 ATS.
• The Timberwolves are 19-14 overall, and 15-18 against the spread, away from home.
• This season, as 8.5-point underdogs or more away from home, Minnesota is 4-5 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Thunder vs. Timberwolves

• The Thunder have won 50 of the 63 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (79.4%).
• This season, the Timberwolves have been the underdog 14 times and won five, or 35.7%, of those games.
• Oklahoma City has a record of 31-8 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -375 or shorter (winning 79.5%).
• Minnesota has played as an underdog of +300 or more once this season and lost that game.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Thunder's implied win probability is 78.9%.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Thunder vs. Timberwolves

• Pick ATS: Thunder (- 8.5)
• Pick OU: Under (225.5)
  
• Prediction: Thunder 116 - Timberwolves 104
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!