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Lions vs. Patriots Week 10 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

10 November 2026 By Data Skrive

The New England Patriots (5-4) will travel to Munich, Germany to take on the Detroit Lions (6-2) at Allianz Arena on Sunday, November 15, 2026. The Lions are favorites in this one by 2.5 points. The game has an over/under of 51.5 points.

The Lions rank 26th in total defense this season (355.0 yards allowed per game), but they've been shining on the offensive side of the ball, ranking fourth-best in the NFL with 379.8 total yards per game. In terms of points scored the Patriots rank 14th in the NFL (23.4 points per game), and they are 15th on defense (23.0 points allowed per contest).

Lions vs. Patriots Odds and Game Time

  • Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026
  • Time: 9:30 a.m. ET
  • City: Munich, Germany
  • Venue: Allianz Arena
  • Total: 51.5 points
  • Spread: Lions -2.5
  • Moneyline: Lions (-148), Patriots (+124)

How to watch Lions vs. Patriots

  • TV Channel: FOX

Betting the Over/Under: Lions vs. Patriots

  • The Lions and their opponents have scored more than 51.5 points in five of eight games this season.
  • So far this season, five of Detroit's eight games have gone over the point total.
  • The Patriots have combined with their opponent to score more than 51.5 points in four of nine games this season.
  • In 2026, six New England games have gone over the point total.
  • The two teams combine to score 51.2 points per game, 0.3 fewer points than this matchup's total.
  • These two teams allow a combined 46.6 points per game, 4.9 fewer points than this matchup's total.

Betting the Spread: Lions vs. Patriots

  • Detroit has covered the spread three times in eight games this season.
  • When playing as at least 2.5-point favorites this season, the Lions have an ATS record of 3-3-1.
  • The Patriots have compiled a 3-5-1 ATS record so far this year.
  • New England has covered the spread once this year (1-2-1 ATS) when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs.
  • The Lions have covered the spread once at home, and are 4-0 overall there this season.
  • Detroit has one win ATS (1-2-1) as 2.5-point favorites or more at home.
  • The Patriots are 2-3 overall, with only one win against the spread, on the road.
  • New England has one win ATS (1-2-1) as 2.5-point underdogs or more away from home.
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Betting the Moneyline: Lions vs. Patriots

  • Detroit has a 6-1 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 85.7% of those games).
  • The Patriots have entered the game as underdogs four times this season and won once.
  • Detroit has gone 6-1 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -148 or shorter (85.7%).
  • New England is 1-3 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +124 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Lions have a 59.7% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability.

Dunkel Prediction for Lions vs. Patriots

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Patriots (+2.5) Over (51.5) Patriots 29 - Lions 28

For more expert NFL picks, visit our Dunkel Index NFL Picks and Predictions.

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