North Florida vs. Citadel Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 14

The North Florida Ospreys (1-2) host the Citadel Bulldogs (2-1) at UNF Arena, beginning at 2 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 14, 2026. The Ospreys are 4.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 154.5 points.

North Florida is coming off of an 89-51 loss to Miami (FL) in its last outing on Monday. In North Florida's loss, Eduardo Placer led the way with a team-high 12 points (adding three rebounds and two assists). Citadel enters this matchup on the heels of a 131-50 win against Virginia-Lynchburg on Tuesday. In Citadel's win, Aaron Ekwere led the way with 23 points (adding nine rebounds and eight assists).

North Florida vs. Citadel Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET
• Where: UNF Arena in Jacksonville, Florida
• Spread favorite: North Florida -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: North Florida -196
• Moneyline underdog: Citadel +157
• Over/Under: 154.5 points

How to watch North Florida vs. Citadel

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: North Florida vs. Citadel

• North Florida and its opponent combined to score over 154.5 points, the current matchup's point total, in 22 of 30 games last year.
• Citadel's games went over 154.5 total points scored in 10 of 30 matchups last year.
• These two teams averaged a combined 150 points per game a season ago, 4.5 fewer points than the total of 154.5 set for this game.
• Opponents of the two teams averaged a combined 11.2 more points per game last season (165.7) than this game's total of 154.5 points.
• North Florida's average point total in matchups last year was 167.8, 13.3 points higher than the total in this game.
• Citadel's games in 2025 averaged an over/under of 147.9 points, 6.6 fewer than the point total in this matchup.

Betting the Spread: North Florida vs. Citadel

• North Florida won 18 games against the spread last season, while failing to cover 12 times.
• Citadel went 15-15-0 ATS last year.
• The Bulldogs were 13-12 ATS last season when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs.
• At home last year, North Florida was 3-8 overall and 7-4 against the spread.
• Citadel was 7-8 against the spread, and 3-12 overall, on the road last season.

Betting the Moneyline: North Florida vs. Citadel

• North Florida never were listed as the moneyline favorite in a game last season.
• The Ospreys never played a game last season with moneyline odds of -196 or shorter.
• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives North Florida a 66.2% chance to win.
• Citadel won seven, or 25%, of the 28 games it played as underdogs last season.
• The Bulldogs entered 24 games last season as an underdog by +157 or more and were 6-18 in those contests.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Citadel has a 38.9% chance to win.