North Carolina vs. SMU Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 3

The No. 12 North Carolina Tar Heels (13-1, 1-0 ACC) are 1.5-point favorites for their contest with the SMU Mustangs (11-2, 0-0 ACC) on January 3, 2026, when two of the best players in college basketball -- the Tar Heels' Caleb Wilson and the Mustangs' Kevin Miller -- will be on display at Moody Coliseum. The matchup has an over/under of 153.5.

North Carolina won its most recent outing 79-66 against Florida State on Tuesday. Wilson scored a team-leading 22 points for North Carolina in the win. SMU took care of business in its most recent outing 110-63 against CSU Fullerton on Sunday. B.J. Edwards scored 21 points in SMU's victory, leading the team.

North Carolina vs. SMU Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 2:15 p.m. ET
• Where: Moody Coliseum in Dallas, Texas
• Spread favorite: North Carolina -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: North Carolina -114
• Moneyline underdog: SMU -105
• Over/Under: 153.5 points

How to watch North Carolina vs. SMU

• TV Channel: CW (WGN - Chicago)
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: North Carolina vs. SMU

• North Carolina and its opponents have combined to hit the over on Saturday's total of 153.5 points three times this season.
• In SMU's 13 games this season, 12 finished with more combined points than Saturday's point total of 153.5.
• Together, the two teams combine for 172.3 points per game, 18.8 points more than the total of 153.5 for this contest.
• This matchup's total is 13.3 fewer points than the 140.2 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• On average, the over/under in North Carolina's games is 8.6 fewer points than the over/under of 153.5 in this contest.
• SMU's games have an average over/under of 167.5 points this season, 14.0 more points than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: North Carolina vs. SMU

• In North Carolina's 14 games this year, it has eight wins against the spread.
• The Tar Heels have an ATS record of 7-5 in their 12 games as a favorite of 1.5 points or more so far this season.
• SMU has played 13 games, with six wins against the spread.
• The Mustangs have been underdogs by 1.5 points or more four times this year and have covered the spread twice.
• SMU is 4-5 against the spread, and 9-0 overall, at home this year.
• As a 1.5-point underdog or more at home, SMU is 4-5 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: North Carolina vs. SMU

• This season, North Carolina has been listed as the moneyline favorite in 11 games and won them all.
• The Tar Heels are undefeated in 11 games this season when favored by -114 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.3% chance of a victory for North Carolina.
• SMU has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in four games this year and has walked away with the win two times (50%) in those games.
• This season, the Mustangs have been victorious two times in four chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies SMU has a 51.2% chance of walking away with the win.