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Saints vs. Falcons Week 12 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

18 November 2025 By Data Skrive

The Atlanta Falcons (3-7) will be aiming to snap a five-game losing streak against the New Orleans Saints (2-8). The Saints are slim favorites (-2.5). The expected point total for the matchup is set at 39.5.

Offensively, the Saints rank 26th in the NFL with 297.2 yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 10th in total defense (317.5 yards allowed per contest). In terms of points scored the Falcons rank 27th in the NFL (19.5 points per game), and they are 19th defensively (23.9 points allowed per game).

Saints vs. Falcons Odds and Game Time

  • Date: Sunday, November 23, 2025
  • Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
  • City: New Orleans, Louisiana
  • Venue: Caesars Superdome
  • Total: 39.5 points
  • Spread: Saints -2.5
  • Moneyline: Saints (-130), Falcons (+110)

How to watch Saints vs. Falcons

  • TV Channel: FOX (WDBD-Jackson, MS)
  • Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Saints vs. Falcons

  • Saints games this season have featured more combined points than this contest's total of 39.5 points seven times.
  • New Orleans games have hit the over three out of 10 times this season.
  • The Falcons have combined with their opponents to score more than 39.5 points in six of 10 games this season.
  • In 2025, four Atlanta games have hit the over.
  • These two teams are scoring 35 points per game between them, 4.5 fewer than this matchup's over/under.
  • Opponents of these teams average 48.9 combined points per game, 9.4 more points than this matchup's total.

Betting the Spread: Saints vs. Falcons

  • New Orleans has covered the spread three times in 10 games this season.
  • The Falcons have put together a 5-5-0 ATS record so far this season.
  • Atlanta has covered the spread when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs in four of four games this year.
  • At home this season, the Saints have one win against the spread and are 1-4 overall.
  • The Falcons are 1-4 overall, and 3-2 against the spread, in away games.
  • Atlanta is unbeaten ATS (3-0) on the road as 2.5-point underdogs or more.
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Betting the Moneyline: Saints vs. Falcons

  • New Orleans has been listed as the moneyline favorite just one other time so far this season, a game they won.
  • The Falcons have won two of the six games they've played as underdogs this season.
  • New Orleans has yet to play as a moneyline favorite of -130 or shorter.
  • Atlanta has a record of 2-2 in games where bookmakers have them as underdogs of at least +110 on the moneyline.
  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Saints' implied win probability is 56.5%.

Dunkel Prediction for Saints vs. Falcons

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Falcons (+2.5) Over (39.5) Falcons 23 - Saints 20

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