Pelicans vs. Mavericks Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - March 16

The New Orleans Pelicans (22-46) look to extend a four-game home winning stretch when hosting the Dallas Mavericks (23-45) on March 16, 2026.

The Pelicans take on the Mavericks in a game that New Orleans is currently a healthy favorite by 8.5 points. The game's over/under is 240.5.

Pelicans vs. Mavericks Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Monday, March 16, 2026
• Game time: 8 p.m. ET
• Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
• Arena: Smoothie King Center
• Total: 240.5 points
• Spread: Pelicans -8.5
• Moneyline: Pelicans (-340), Mavericks (+275)

How to watch Pelicans vs. Mavericks

• TV Channel: KFAA, Gulf Coast Sports, Pelicans+

Betting the Over/Under: Pelicans vs. Mavericks

• The Pelicans' 68 games this season have gone over this contest's total of 240.5 points 26 times.
• Mavericks games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 240.5 points in 19 of 68 outings.
• The two teams combine to score 228.6 points per game, 11.9 fewer points than this matchup's total.
• These teams allow 237.9 points per game combined, 2.6 points fewer than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Pelicans vs. Mavericks

• New Orleans has covered 38 times in 68 chances against the spread this season.
• The Pelicans have covered the spread when playing as at least 8.5-point favorites in two of two opportunities this season.
• The Mavericks have put together a 29-38-1 record against the spread this season.
• Dallas has been an underdog by 8.5 points or more 20 times this year, and covered the spread in 10 of those matchups.
• At home this year, the Pelicans are 21-13 against the spread and 13-21 overall.
• New Orleans is unbeaten ATS (2-0) as a 8.5-point favorite or more at home.
• The Mavericks are 9-25 overall, and 13-21 against the spread, away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Pelicans vs. Mavericks

• The Pelicans have been the moneyline favorite 13 total times this season. They've gone 10-3 in those games.
• This season, the Mavericks have won 13 out of the 47 games, or 27.7%, in which they've been the underdog.
• New Orleans has played as a moneyline favorite of -340 or shorter twice this season, and won both.
• Dallas has a record of 4-16, a 20% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by +275 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The Pelicans have a 77.3% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Pelicans vs. Mavericks

• Pick ATS: Pelicans (- 8.5)
• Pick OU: Over (240.5)
  
• Prediction: Pelicans 130 - Mavericks 113
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!