Patriots vs. Bengals Week 12 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds
18 November 2025

Having dropped eight straight, the Cincinnati Bengals (3-7) will take on the New England Patriots (9-2). The Patriots are solid favorites, expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -7.5). The over/under for this one is set at 50.5 points.
The Patriots are putting up 357 yards per game on offense, which ranks them ninth in the NFL. On defense, they rank eighth, surrendering 300.6 yards per contest. The Bengals have not been getting things done on defense, ranking worst with 33.4 points surrendered per game. They have been better on the other side of the ball, regstering 22.8 points per contest (18th-ranked).
Patriots vs. Bengals Odds and Game Time
- Date: Sunday, November 23, 2025
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- City: Cincinnati, Ohio
- Venue: Paycor Stadium
- Total: 50.5 points
- Spread: Patriots -7.5
- Moneyline: Patriots (-441), Bengals (+340)
How to watch Patriots vs. Bengals
- TV Channel: CBS (WPRI-Providence-New Bedford, RI)
- Live Stream: Fubo
Betting the Over/Under: Patriots vs. Bengals
- The Patriots' 11 games this season have gone over this contest's total of 50.5 points three times.
- New England games have gone over the point total six out of 11 times this season.
- The Bengals have played six games this season that finished with a combined score higher than 50.5 points.
- In Cincinnati's 10 contests this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total seven times.
- The two teams combine to score 49.3 points per game, 1.2 fewer points than this matchup's total.
- Opponents of these teams score 52.1 points per game combined, 1.6 more points than this contest's total.
Betting the Spread: Patriots vs. Bengals
- New England has covered the spread seven times in 11 games this season.
- New England has been favored by 7.5 points or more this season once, and failed to cover the spread.
- The Bengals have compiled a 3-7-0 record against the spread this year.
- Cincinnati has covered the spread once this year (1-2 ATS) when playing as at least 7.5-point underdogs.
- The Bengals have covered the spread twice at home, and are 2-3 overall there, this season.
- At home, as 7.5-point underdogs or more, Cincinnati is winless ATS (0-1).
- The Patriots are 5-0 against the spread, and 5-0 overall, in away games.
Betting the Moneyline: Patriots vs. Bengals
- New England has won six of the seven games it was favored on the moneyline this season (85.7%).
- This season, the Bengals have won one out of the seven games in which they've been the underdog.
- New England has played as a moneyline favorite of -441 or shorter in only one game this season, which it won.
- This season, Cincinnati has been at least a +340 underdog on the moneyline three times, losing each of those contests.
- The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Patriots an 81.5% chance to win.
Dunkel Prediction for Patriots vs. Bengals
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Bengals (+7.5) | Over (50.5) | Bengals 28 - Patriots 27 |
For more expert NFL picks, visit our Dunkel Index NFL Picks and Predictions.
