Nebraska vs. Troy Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - First Round

The No. 4 seed Nebraska Cornhuskers (26-6) are a 13.5-point favorite in the opening round of the NCAA Tournament against the No. 13 seed Troy Trojans (22-11) on Thursday at Paycom Center. The matchup starts at 12:40 p.m. ET on truTV. Here are insights into this South Region 4-13 matchup to help you fill out your bracket. The point total is 139.5 in the matchup.

Nebraska is coming off of a 74-58 loss to Purdue in its most recent outing on Friday. In Nebraska's loss, Pryce Sandfort led the way with a team-high 15 points (adding four rebounds and two assists). Troy won its last outing 77-61 against Georgia Southern on Monday. Thomas Dowd's team-high 23 points paced Troy in the win.

Nebraska vs. Troy Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, March 19, 2026 at 12:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Spread favorite: Nebraska -13.5
• Moneyline favorite: Nebraska -1163
• Moneyline underdog: Troy +677
• Over/Under: 139.5 points

How to watch Nebraska vs. Troy

• TV Channel: truTV
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Nebraska vs. Troy

• This season, 19 of Nebraska's 32 games have gone over Thursday's over/under of 139.5 points.
• This season, 18 games Troy has played finished with a combined score higher than 139.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 157.6 points per game, 18.1 points more than the point total of 139.5 for this matchup.
• This matchup's point total is 0.2 fewer points than the 139.3 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• This season, the average over/under for Nebraska's games is 143.5 points, four more than the total of 139.5 points set for this contest.
• The over/under for this matchup is 13.9 points lower than the average over/under in Troy's games this season of 153.4.

Betting the Spread: Nebraska vs. Troy

• Against the spread, Nebraska is 17-15-0 this season.
• So far this season, the Cornhuskers have been installed as favorites by a 13.5-point margin or more 11 times and are 4-7 ATS in those contests.
• Troy has 17 wins against the spread in 31 games this season.
• This season, the Trojans have won ATS in each of their two games as an underdog of 13.5 points or more.
• Nebraska is 8-10 against the spread, and 16-2 overall, at home.
• As a 13.5-point favorite or greater at home, Nebraska is 4-6 ATS.
• Troy is 8-8 against the spread, and 9-7 overall, on the road.
• Troy is winless ATS (0-1) as 13.5-point underdogs or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Nebraska vs. Troy

• This season, Nebraska has been moneyline favorites 24 times and won 21, or 87.5%, of those games.
• The Cornhuskers have been at least a -1163 moneyline favorite nine times this season and won each of those games.
• The implied probability of a win from Nebraska, based on the moneyline, is 92.1%.
• Troy has come away with five wins in the eight contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Trojans have been listed as an underdog of +677 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
• Troy has an implied victory probability of 12.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.