Warriors vs. Heat Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - Nov. 5

The Golden State Warriors (5-3) welcome in the Miami Heat (3-5) after victories in three straight home games.

Thursday's matchup between the Warriors and the Heat sees the Warriors as a solid, 7.5-point favorite. A 234.5-point over/under has been set for the game.

Warriors vs. Heat Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Thursday, November 5, 2026
• Game time: 10 p.m. ET
• Location: San Francisco, California
• Arena: Chase Center
• Total: 234.5 points
• Spread: Warriors -7.5
• Moneyline: Warriors (-290), Heat (+235)

How to watch Warriors vs. Heat

• TV Channel: NBA TV, WPLG, Local10+, NBCS-BA, PCK-GSW

Betting the Over/Under: Warriors vs. Heat

• The Warriors and their opponents have gone over 234.5 combined points in three of eight games this season.
• Heat games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 234.5 points in five of eight outings.
• These two teams average 235.5 points per game between them, 1.0 more than this game's total.
• Opponents of these two teams put up 237.5 combined points per game, 3.0 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Warriors vs. Heat

• Golden State is 6-2-0 ATS this season.
• The Heat have won just two games against the spread this year.
• At home this year, the Warriors are 3-1 overall and 3-1 against the spread.
• The Heat have one win against the spread, and are 2-2 overall, away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Warriors vs. Heat

• The Warriors have a 2-1 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 66.7% of those games).
• This season, the Heat have been the underdog three times and won one of those games.
• Golden State has not yet played as a moneyline favorite of -290 or shorter.
• Miami has not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +235.
• The Warriors have an implied moneyline win probability of 74.4% in this game.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Warriors vs. Heat

• Pick ATS: Heat (+ 7.5)
• Pick OU: Under (234.5)
  
• Prediction: Heat 114 - Warriors 113
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!