Murray State vs. Middle Tennessee Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 23

The Murray State Racers (4-1) host the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (3-1) at John Gray Gymnasium, beginning at 7:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 23, 2025. The Blue Raiders are 7.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 163.5.

Murray State won its last outing 89-68 against Little Rock on Tuesday. Brayden Shorter's team-leading 16 points paced Murray State in the win. Middle Tennessee is coming off of an 86-61 loss to Michigan in its most recent game on Wednesday. Jahvin Carter's team-high 18 points paced Middle Tennessee in the losing effort.

Murray State vs. Middle Tennessee Odds and Game Time

• When: Sunday, November 23, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: John Gray Gymnasium in George Town, Cayman Islands
• Spread favorite: Murray State -7.5
• Moneyline favorite: Murray State -301
• Moneyline underdog: Middle Tennessee +243
• Over/Under: 163.5 points

How to watch Murray State vs. Middle Tennessee

• TV Channel: FloCollege
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Murray State vs. Middle Tennessee

• Out of 32 games last season, Murray State played four with more than 163.5 points scored, its current matchup's over/under.
• Last season, four of Middle Tennessee's 31 games had a combined total higher than 163.5 points scored.
• These two teams averaged a combined 148.5 points per game a season ago, 15.0 fewer points than the over/under of 163.5 set for this game.
• Opponents of these two teams averaged a combined 141.7 points per game last season, 21.8 fewer than the point total in this game.
• The average point total for Murray State's games last year was 22.5 fewer points than the total of 163.5 in this matchup.
• The average point total for Middle Tennessee in 2024 was 14.3 points lower than this game's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Murray State vs. Middle Tennessee

• Murray State went 15-17-0 ATS last season.
• The Racers covered the spread once when favored by 7.5 points or more last season (in three opportunities).
• Middle Tennessee compiled an 18-13-0 record against the spread last year.
• The Blue Raiders were an underdog by 7.5 points or more three times last season, and covered the spread in two of those contests.
• Murray State was 4-7 against the spread, and 6-5 overall, at home last season.
• Murray State had one win ATS (1-2) as a 7.5-point favorite or more at home last year.
• Middle Tennessee was 8-5 overall, and 9-4 against the spread, away from home last season.

Betting the Moneyline: Murray State vs. Middle Tennessee

• Murray State was the moneyline favorite 18 total times last season. It went 11-7 in those games.
• The Racers went 4-1 last year (winning 80% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -301 or shorter.
• Based on this game's moneyline, Murray State has an implied win probability of 75.1%.
• Last season, Middle Tennessee won eight out of the 15 games, or 53.3%, in which it was the underdog.
• The Blue Raiders had a record of 1-2 when they were set as an underdog of +243 or more by sportsbooks last season.
• Middle Tennessee has a 29.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.