Murray State vs. Drake Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Dec. 18

The Murray State Racers (8-3, 0-0 MVC) take on the Drake Bulldogs (6-5, 0-0 MVC) as 6.5-point favorites on Thursday, December 18, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under of 161 points.

Murray State is coming off of a 115-100 win against Akron in its last game on Saturday. Layne Taylor recorded 23 points, one rebound and eight assists for Murray State. Drake dropped its most recent game 99-94 against North Dakota State on Saturday. Jalen Quinn totaled 24 points, six rebounds and six assists for Drake.

Murray State vs. Drake Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, December 18, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: CFSB Center in Murray, Kentucky
• Spread favorite: Murray State -6.5
• Moneyline favorite: Murray State -302
• Moneyline underdog: Drake +240
• Over/Under: 161 points

How to watch Murray State vs. Drake

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Murray State vs. Drake

• Murray State and its opponents have combined to go over Thursday's over/under of 161 points seven times this season.
• This season, Drake has played only two games with a combined score over 161 points.
• The over/under for the matchup of 161 is 10.4 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Racers (90.5 points per game) and the Bulldogs (80.9 points per game).
• These two teams give up a combined 147 points per game, 14 less than this contest's over/under.
• On average, Murray State has had a 169-point over/under in its games this season, eight more points than the over/under in this contest.
• The over/under for this matchup is 11.6 points higher than the average over/under in Drake's games this season of 149.4.

Betting the Spread: Murray State vs. Drake

• In Murray State's 11 games this season, it has seven wins against the spread.
• So far this season, the Racers have been installed as favorites by a 6.5-point margin or more six times and are 4-2 ATS in those contests.
• Drake has four wins against the spread in nine games this year.
• This season, the Bulldogs have won ATS in each of their two games as an underdog of 6.5 points or more.
• Murray State is 5-0 overall, and 4-1 against the spread, at home.
• At home, Murray State is 4-1 ATS as a 6.5-point favorite or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Murray State vs. Drake

• Murray State has entered the game as moneyline favorites six times this season and won five of those games.
• The Racers have a record of 4-1 when favored by -302 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• Murray State has a 75.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Drake has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in three games this year and has walked away with the win two times (66.7%) in those games.
• The Bulldogs have been listed as an underdog of +240 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
• Drake has an implied victory probability of 29.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Murray State vs. Drake

• Pick ATS: Drake (+ 6.5)
• Pick OU: Over (161)
  
• Prediction: Murray State 83 - Drake 82