Murray State vs. Bradley Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 4

The Murray State Racers (12-3, 4-0 MVC) take the court against the Bradley Braves (10-5, 3-1 MVC) as 4.5-point favorites on Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN2. The matchup's over/under is set at 161.

Murray State took care of business in its most recent outing 81-77 against UIC on Thursday. In the win, Fredrick King led Murray State with 18 points. Bradley enters this contest on the heels of an 88-78 loss to Belmont on Thursday. Bradley got a team-high 25 points from Demarion Burch in the loss.

Murray State vs. Bradley Odds and Game Time

• When: Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 5 p.m. ET
• Where: CFSB Center in Murray, Kentucky
• Spread favorite: Murray State -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: Murray State -219
• Moneyline underdog: Bradley +181
• Over/Under: 161 points

How to watch Murray State vs. Bradley

• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Murray State vs. Bradley

• Murray State and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (161 points) nine times this season.
• This season, four games Bradley has played finished with a combined score higher than 161 points.
• The total for the game of 161 is 5.7 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Racers (88.4 points per game) and the Braves (78.3 points per game).
• This matchup's point total is 12.1 fewer points than the 148.9 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
• On average, Murray State has seen a 166.6-point over/under in its games this season, 5.6 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• Bradley's games have an average over/under of 148.9 points this season, 12.1 points lower than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Murray State vs. Bradley

• In Murray State's 15 games this year, it has nine wins against the spread.
• The Racers have been favored by 4.5 points or more 11 times this season and are 7-4 ATS in those contests.
• Bradley has played 14 games, with five wins against the spread.
• The Braves have covered the spread once this season when underdogs by 4.5 points or more (in three chances).
• Murray State is 7-0 overall, and 5-2 against the spread, at home.
• At home, as a 4.5-point favorite or greater, Murray State is 5-2 ATS.
• In away games, Bradley has only one win against the spread and are 1-2 overall.
• Bradley is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 4.5-point underdogs or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Murray State vs. Bradley

• This season, Murray State has won nine out of the 10 games in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• This season, the Racers have won eight of their nine games, or 88.9%, when favored by at least -219 on the moneyline.
• Murray State has a 68.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Bradley has come away with one win in the four contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Braves have been listed as an underdog of +181 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
• Bradley has an implied victory probability of 35.6% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Murray State vs. Bradley

• Pick ATS: Bradley (+ 4.5)
• Pick OU: Over (161)
  
• Prediction: Murray State 85 - Bradley 84