Missouri State vs. LIU Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 24

The Missouri State Bears (3-2) host the Long Island Sharks (3-3) at Great Southern Bank Arena, starting at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, November 24, 2025. The Bears are 4.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup's over/under is 145.5.

Missouri State took care of business in its most recent matchup 74-67 against UT Rio Grande Valley on Saturday. In Missouri State's win, Keith Palek III led the way with a team-high 28 points (adding nine rebounds and five assists). LIU heads into this matchup on the heels of a 98-58 loss to Illinois on Saturday. AJ Neal's team-high 15 points paced LIU in the losing effort.

Missouri State vs. LIU Odds and Game Time

• When: Monday, November 24, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Great Southern Bank Arena in Springfield, Missouri
• Spread favorite: Missouri State -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: Missouri State -205
• Moneyline underdog: LIU +168
• Over/Under: 145.5 points

How to watch Missouri State vs. LIU

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Missouri State vs. LIU

• This season, Missouri State's games have seen a combined score higher than this matchup's 145.5-point total once.
• This season, five of LIU's games have finished with a combined score higher than 145.5 points.
• The Bears average 80.4 points per game against the Sharks' 72.7, amounting to 7.6 points over the matchup's over/under of 145.5.
• This matchup's point total is 6.7 less than the 152.2 points these two teams combine to allow per game.
• This season, the average over/under for Missouri State's games is 149.8 points, 4.3 more than the total of 145.5 points set for this contest.
• The over/under for this matchup is 10.0 points lower than the average over/under in LIU's games this season of 155.5.

Betting the Spread: Missouri State vs. LIU

• Thus far this season Missouri State has one win against the spread.
• LIU has covered the spread two times this year.
• This season, the Sharks have just one ATS win in three games as an underdog of 4.5 points or more.
• LIU is 2-3 overall, with just one win against the spread, away from home.
• LIU is winless ATS (0-1) as 4.5-point underdogs or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Missouri State vs. LIU

• Missouri State has split the two games it has played as a moneyline favorite this season.
• The Bears have not entered a game this season as a bigger favorite on the moneyline than the -205 odds on them winning this game.
• Missouri State has a 67.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• LIU has come away with one win in the four contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Sharks have been listed as an underdog of +168 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
• LIU has an implied victory probability of 37.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Missouri State vs. LIU

• Pick ATS: Missouri State (- 4.5)
• Pick OU: Under (145.5)
  
• Prediction: Missouri State 73 - LIU 59