Mississippi State vs. Memphis Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Dec. 20

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (6-5) host the Memphis Tigers (4-6) at Humphrey Coliseum, tipping off at 4 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 20, 2025. The Bulldogs are 3.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup's over/under is set at 150.5.

Mississippi State enters this contest on the heels of an 87-83 win over LIU on Tuesday. Josh Hubbard scored a team-best 34 points for Mississippi State in the victory. Memphis' most recent contest on Wednesday ended in a 77-70 loss to Vanderbilt in overtime. Dug McDaniel scored 18 points in Memphis' loss, leading the team.

Mississippi State vs. Memphis Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, December 20, 2025 at 4 p.m. ET
• Where: Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, Mississippi
• Spread favorite: Mississippi State -3.5
• Moneyline favorite: Mississippi State -187
• Moneyline underdog: Memphis +154
• Over/Under: 150.5 points

How to watch Mississippi State vs. Memphis

• TV Channel: ESPN
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Mississippi State vs. Memphis

• This season, Mississippi State and its opponents have combined to outscore Saturday's total of 150.5 points eight times.
• There have been five Memphis games that finished with a combined score higher than 150.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 154.6 points per game, 4.1 points more than the total of 150.5 for this matchup.
• This game's point total is 4.9 less than the 155.4 points these two teams combine to give up per game.
• On average, Mississippi State has had a 158.0-point over/under in its games this season, 7.5 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• Memphis' games have an average over/under of 152.0 points this season, 1.5 more points than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: Mississippi State vs. Memphis

• Mississippi State has covered the spread on two occasions this season.
• The Bulldogs have yet to cover the spread this season when favored by 3.5 points or more in six chances.
• Memphis is 8-2-0 against the spread this season.
• The Tigers have been underdogs by 3.5 points or more four times this year and are 3-1 ATS in those matchups.
• At home this year, Mississippi State is winless against the spread, and 4-1 overall.
• At home, as a 3.5-point favorite or more, Mississippi State is winless ATS (0-4).

Betting the Moneyline: Mississippi State vs. Memphis

• Mississippi State has been the moneyline favorite in 10 games this season and won six (60%) of those contests.
• The Bulldogs have entered six games this season favored by -187 or more and are 4-2 in those contests.
• Mississippi State has a 65.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Memphis has been victorious in one of the six contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• The Tigers have yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +154 or worse on the moneyline this season.
• Memphis has an implied victory probability of 39.4% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.