Timberwolves vs. Heat Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - Jan. 3

The Miami Heat (19-15) will attempt to continue a four-game winning run when hosting the Minnesota Timberwolves (21-13) on January 3, 2026 at Kaseya Center.

The Timberwolves square off with the Heat in a game that Minnesota is currently a small favorite by 2.5 points. The game's over/under is 239.5.

Timberwolves vs. Heat Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Saturday, January 3, 2026
• Game time: 5 p.m. ET
• Location: Miami, Florida
• Arena: Kaseya Center
• Total: 239.5 points
• Spread: Timberwolves -2.5
• Moneyline: Timberwolves (-138), Heat (+118)

How to watch Timberwolves vs. Heat

• TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network Kansas City
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Timberwolves vs. Heat

• Timberwolves games this season have gone over this contest's total of 239.5 points seven times.
• The Heat have played 16 games this season that finished with a combined score higher than 239.5 points.
• The two teams combine to score 239.7 points per game, 0.2 more points than this matchup's total.
• These teams together surrender 232 points per game, 7.5 fewer than this matchup's total.

Betting the Spread: Timberwolves vs. Heat

• Minnesota has put together a 13-21-0 ATS record so far this year.
• The Timberwolves have been favored by 2.5 points or more 26 times this season, and covered the spread in 10 of those games.
• The Heat have compiled a 20-13-1 ATS record so far this season.
• Miami has an ATS record of 10-4-1 when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs this year.
• At home this season, the Heat are 12-5 overall and 10-7 against the spread.
• This year, as a 2.5-point underdog or greater at home, Miami is 5-7 ATS.
• On the road, the Timberwolves are 9-7 overall and 6-10 against the spread.
• As 2.5-point favorites or more on the road, Minnesota is 4-7 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Timberwolves vs. Heat

• The Timberwolves have won 19 of the 27 games they were favored on the moneyline this season (70.4%).
• The Heat have been underdogs in 19 games this season and won 10 (52.6%) of those contests.
• When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -138 or shorter, Minnesota has gone 19-7 (73.1% win percentage).
• Miami has a record of 6-8, a 42.9% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by +118 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Timberwolves a 58.0% chance to win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Timberwolves vs. Heat

• Pick ATS: Heat (+ 2.5)
• Pick OU: Under (239.5)
  
• Prediction: Heat 117 - Timberwolves 115
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!