Marlins vs. Orioles Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - May 7

The Baltimore Orioles have a 2-0 series lead and hope to sweep the Miami Marlins on Thursday at loanDepot park, at 6:40 p.m. ET. Max Meyer (2-0, 2.68 ERA) will start for the Marlins, who are 16-21 this season and fourth in the NL East. Cade Povich (1-1, 4.41 ERA) is expected to start for the Orioles, who are 17-20 and third in the AL East.

At home, the Marlins are favored to win on the moneyline (-125) over the Orioles (+105). The over/under for the Marlins-Orioles game is 8.5.

Marlins vs. Orioles Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Thursday, May 7, 2026
• Game time: 6:40 p.m. ET
• Location: Miami, Florida
• Stadium: loanDepot park
• Favorite: Marlins (-125)
• Underdog: Orioles (+105)
• Over/under: 8.5

How to Watch Marlins vs. Orioles

• TV Channel: MIAM and MASN
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Marlins vs. Orioles: Betting the Moneyline

• The Marlins have won 57.1% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (12-9).
• Baltimore has been underdogs in 16 games this season and has come away with the win five times (31.2%) in those contests.
• Miami has a record of 10-5, a 66.7% win rate, when favored by -125 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• This year, the Orioles have won four of 12 games when listed as at least +105 or worse on the moneyline.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Marlins have an implied win probability of 55.6%.
• The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 48.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Marlins vs. Orioles: Betting the Spread & Total

• The Marlins have played in 37 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 22 times (22-14-1).
• Games involving Baltimore have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 26 of 37 chances this season.
• The Marlins have collected a 17-20-0 record ATS this season (covering 45.9% of the time).
• In 37 games with a line this season, the Orioles have a mark of 16-21-0 against the spread.