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Marlins vs. Orioles Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - May 7

07 May 2026 By Data Skrive

The Baltimore Orioles will look to finish off a sweep of a three-game series versus the Miami Marlins, at 6:40 p.m. ET on Thursday. Max Meyer (2-0, 2.68 ERA) will start for the Marlins, who are 16-21 this season and fourth in the NL East. Cade Povich (1-1, 4.41 ERA) is starting for the Orioles, who are 17-20 and third in the AL East.

The oddsmakers have spoken, making the Marlins (-129) a moderate moneyline favorite to defeat the Orioles (+109) at home. The game's over/under is set at 8.5.

Marlins vs. Orioles Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Thursday, May 7, 2026
  • Game time: 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Stadium: loanDepot park
  • Favorite: Marlins (-129)
  • Underdog: Orioles (+109)
  • Over/under: 8.5

How to Watch Marlins vs. Orioles

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Marlins vs. Orioles: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Marlins have won 12 of the 21 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (57.1%).
  • Baltimore has been victorious in five, or 31.2%, of the 16 contests it has been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season Miami has won eight of its 13 games, or 61.5%, when favored by at least -129 on the moneyline.
  • This season, the Orioles have come away with a win four times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least +109 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Marlins have a 56.3% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 47.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Marlins vs. Orioles: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Marlins have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 37 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 22 of those games (22-14-1).
  • Baltimore's games have gone over the total in 26 of its 37 chances.
  • The Marlins have covered 45.9% of their games this season, going 17-20-0 ATS.
  • The Orioles are 16-21-0 against the spread in their 37 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
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