Heat vs. Pacers Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - Dec. 27

The Miami Heat (16-15) will attempt to end a three-game home losing skid when taking on the Indiana Pacers (6-25) on December 27, 2025 at Kaseya Center.

The Heat play the Pacers in a game that Miami is currently a strong favorite by 8.5 points. The over/under is 230.5 points for the matchup.

Heat vs. Pacers Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Saturday, December 27, 2025
• Game time: 8 p.m. ET
• Location: Miami, Florida
• Arena: Kaseya Center
• Total: 230.5 points
• Spread: Heat -8.5
• Moneyline: Heat (-375), Pacers (+300)

How to watch Heat vs. Pacers

• TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network Indiana
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Heat vs. Pacers

• The Heat and their opponents have gone over 230.5 combined points in 19 of 31 games this season.
• The Pacers have played 14 games this season that finished with a combined score over 230.5 points.
• These two teams are scoring 229.1 points per game between them, 1.4 fewer than this matchup's over/under.
• Opponents of these two teams put up 235.8 points per game combined, 5.3 more points than this contest's total.

Betting the Spread: Heat vs. Pacers

• Miami has compiled a 17-13-1 record against the spread this season.
• The Heat have covered the spread once when favored by 8.5 points or more this season (in three opportunities).
• The Pacers have compiled a 15-16-0 record against the spread this year.
• Indiana has been an underdog by 8.5 points or more 10 times this year, and covered the spread in six of those matchups.
• The Heat are 8-7 against the spread, and 10-5 overall, at home.
• Miami has one win ATS (1-2) as a 8.5-point favorite or greater at home.
• Away from home, the Pacers are 6-8 against the spread, and 1-13 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Heat vs. Pacers

• The Heat have won eight of the 14 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (57.1%).
• This season, the Pacers have been the underdog 26 times and won four, or 15.4%, of those games.
• Miami has a record of 2-1 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -375 or shorter (winning 66.7%).
• This season, Indiana has won one of its eight games when it is the underdog by at least +300 on the moneyline.
• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Heat a 78.9% chance to win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Heat vs. Pacers

• Pick ATS: Pacers (+ 8.5)
• Pick OU: Over (230.5)
  
• Prediction: Heat 120 - Pacers 117
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!