Merrimack vs. Fairfield Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Dec. 7

The Merrimack Warriors (4-6, 1-0 MAAC) square off against the Fairfield Stags (5-4, 0-1 MAAC) as only 2.5-point favorites on Sunday, December 7, 2025 at 1 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under of 143.5.

Merrimack heads into this contest after a 68-66 win over Rider on Thursday. Andres Marrero scored a team-high 23 points for Merrimack in the win. Fairfield heads into this contest following a 70-66 loss to Manhattan on Friday. Braden Sparks scored 22 points in Fairfield's loss, leading the team.

Merrimack vs. Fairfield Odds and Game Time

• When: Sunday, December 7, 2025 at 1 p.m. ET
• Where: Lawler Arena in North Andover, Massachusetts
• Spread favorite: Merrimack -2.5
• Moneyline favorite: Merrimack -155
• Moneyline underdog: Fairfield +128
• Over/Under: 143.5 points

How to watch Merrimack vs. Fairfield

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Merrimack vs. Fairfield

• Merrimack and its opponents have combined to go over Sunday's total of 143.5 points just twice this season.
• This season, five games Fairfield has played finished with a combined score over 143.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 139.6 points per game, 3.9 points fewer than the over/under of 143.5 for this game.
• These two teams give up a combined 151.9 points per game, 8.4 more than this contest's over/under.
• On average, the over/under in Merrimack's games is 3.4 fewer points than the over/under of 143.5 in this contest.
• The over/under for this contest is 7.8 points lower than the average over/under in Fairfield's games this season (151.3 points).

Betting the Spread: Merrimack vs. Fairfield

• Against the spread, Merrimack is 4-6-0 this season.
• The Warriors have been favored by 2.5 points or more two times this season and covered the spread in one of them.
• Fairfield is 3-6-0 against the spread this season.
• The Stags have been underdogs by 2.5 points or more three times this season and covered the spread once.
• At home, as a 2.5-point favorite or more, Merrimack has one win ATS (1-1).
• Fairfield is 3-2 against the spread, and 2-3 overall, away from home.
• Fairfield is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 2.5-point underdogs or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Merrimack vs. Fairfield

• Merrimack has won both games it has played as a moneyline favorite this season.
• The Warriors have played as a favorite of -155 or more twice this season and won both games.
• The implied probability of a win from Merrimack, based on the moneyline, is 60.8%.
• Fairfield has been posted as the moneyline underdog three times this season but has yet walk away from any of those games with an upset.
• The Stags have been listed as an underdog of +128 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Fairfield has a 43.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.