Maple Leafs vs. Penguins NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Dec. 23

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Pittsburgh Penguins are coming off a loss and a win, respectively, heading into their matchup at Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday at 4 p.m. ET. The Penguins are underdogs away from home, at +110, and the Maple Leafs are -130.

Toronto lost 5-1 on the road in its last game on Dec. 21 against the Dallas Stars. Morgan Rielly (one assist) and Scott Laughton (one goal) each had one point for the Maple Leafs.

Pittsburgh won 4-3 in a shootout in its most recent contest on Dec. 21 at home against the Montreal Canadiens, winning the shootout 2-1 to grab the victory. The Penguins were led in that matchup by Rickard Rakell (one goal and one assist) and Sidney Crosby (one goal and one assist).

Here is our pick for who will capture the victory in Tuesday's matchup.

Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming contest between the Toronto Maple Leafs and Pittsburgh Penguins, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Maple Leafs 4 - Penguins 3
• Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 6.93 goals)
  

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Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Moneylines

Grab a peek below at the most recent moneylines for the Maple Leafs-Penguins game.

• Favorite: Maple Leafs (-130)
• Underdog: Penguins (+110)

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

• The Maple Leafs are 9-10 when favored on the moneyline this season.
• When it has played with moneyline odds of -130 or shorter, Toronto is 8-7 (winning 53.3% of the time).
• The Maple Leafs' implied moneyline win probability is 56.5% in this game.
• Toronto's 35 matches this season have finished above this game's total of 6.5 goals 20 times.

Penguins Betting Insights

• The Penguins have been listed as an underdog 23 times this season, and won 11, or 47.8%, of those games.
• This season Pittsburgh has won eight of its 20 games, or 40.0%, when it's the underdog by at least +110 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set in this matchup implies a 47.6% chance of victory for the Penguins.
• Pittsburgh and its opponent have combined to score more than 6.5 goals in 17 of 35 games this season.

Maple Leafs Key Stats

• Toronto's 109 total goals (3.1 per game) rank 15th in the NHL.
• The Maple Leafs have conceded 117 total goals (3.3 per game), ranking 22nd in NHL play in goals against.
• Its goal differential (-8) ranks 22nd in the league.
• The 12 power-play goals the Maple Leafs have scored this season rank 32nd in the NHL (on 90 power-play chances).
• Toronto has the league's 32nd-ranked power-play conversion rate (13.33%).
• The two shorthanded goals the Maple Leafs have scored this season rank 17th among NHL teams.
• Toronto's 83.16% penalty-kill success rate is the sixth-best in the league.
• Toronto wins 57% of its faceoffs to pace the NHL.
• The Maple Leafs have an 11.6% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks seventh in the league.

Penguins Key Stats

• Pittsburgh has 106 goals this season (3.0 per game), 16th in the NHL.
• The Penguins have conceded 108 total goals this season (3.1 per game), 15th in the NHL.
• With a goal differential of -2, the team is 17th in the league.
• With 29 power-play goals (on 98 chances), the Penguins are fourth-best in the NHL.
• Pittsburgh has the league's third-best power-play percentage (29.59%).
• In terms of shorthanded goal, the Penguins have one.
• Pittsburgh's has the 18th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (80.77%).
• Pittsburgh is 16th in faceoff win rate in the NHL (50.2%).
• The Penguins' 10.7% shooting percentage is 15th in the league.