Maple Leafs vs. Bruins NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - April 24

The Toronto Maple Leafs (46-26-10) host the Boston Bruins (47-20-15) on Wednesday, April 24, with the Maple Leafs coming off a victory in their last game and the Bruins a defeat. The sportsbooks see this as a tight one, with the Maple Leafs -114 to win on the moneyline, and the Bruins at -106.

Toronto earned a 3-2 victory on the road its last time out on April 22 against the Boston Bruins. Auston Matthews had three points (one goal and two assists) for the Maple Leafs.

Boston played at home in its last game on April 22, and fell 3-2 against the Toronto Maple Leafs. Six Bruins players had one point each in that outing, including Jake DeBrusk (one assist) and Pavel Zacha (one assist).

Ahead of watching this matchup, here's a glimpse at which club we pick to bring home the victory in Wednesday's NHL Playoffs First Round action.

Maple Leafs vs. Bruins Predictions & Pick

For insights on the upcoming game between the Toronto Maple Leafs and Boston Bruins, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Maple Leafs 4 - Bruins 3
• Pick OU: Over 6 (Dunkel projecting 6.94 goals)
  

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Maple Leafs vs. Bruins Moneylines

Grab a peek below at the most recent moneylines for the Maple Leafs-Bruins matchup.

• Favorite: Maple Leafs (-114)
• Underdog: Bruins (-106)

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

• The Maple Leafs are 39-25 this season when favored on the moneyline.
• Toronto is 39-23 (victorious in 62.9% of its games) when it has played with moneyline odds of -114 or shorter.
• The Maple Leafs' implied moneyline win probability is 53.3% in this matchup.
• In 55 of 84 matches this season, Toronto and its opponent have combined to finish above 6 goals.

Bruins Betting Insights

• This season the Bruins have been an underdog 12 times, and won six, or 50.0%, of those games.
• Boston has gone 5-6, a 45.5% win rate, when it's been set as an underdog of -106 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The Bruins have a 51.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Boston has played 39 games this season that ended with more than 6 goals.

Maple Leafs Key Stats

• Toronto's 298 total goals (3.6 per game) make it the second-highest scoring team in the NHL.
• The Maple Leafs rank 21st in goals against, conceding 261 total goals (3.2 per game) in league play.
• It has the league's 11th-ranked goal differential at +37.
• The 57 power-play goals the Maple Leafs have recorded this season rank 12th in the NHL (on 238 power-play chances).
• Toronto's 23.95% power-play conversion rate is the seventh-best in the league.
• The six shorthanded goals the Maple Leafs have scored this season rank 22nd among NHL teams.
• Toronto kills 76.89% of opponent power plays, the 23rd-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• Toronto wins 53.4% of its faceoffs to rank fourth in the NHL.
• The Maple Leafs shoot 11.2% as a team (fifth in the league).

Bruins Key Stats

• With 263 goals (3.2 per game), Boston has the NHL's 13th-ranked offense.
• The Bruins give up 2.7 goals per game (221 in total), the fifth-fewest in the league.
• With a goal differential of +42, the team is 10th-best in the league in that category.
• With 54 power-play goals (on 243 chances), the Bruins are 15th in the NHL.
• Boston scores on 22.22% of its power plays, No. 14 in the NHL.
• This season, the Bruins have seven shorthanded goals (12th in league).
• The 82.46% penalty-kill percentage of Boston is seventh in the league.
• Boston is 21st in faceoff win rate in the NHL (49.5%).
• The 11% shooting percentage of the Bruins is eighth in the league.