Louisville vs. Cal Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Dec. 30

The No. 16 Louisville Cardinals (10-2, 0-0 ACC) visit the California Golden Bears (12-1, 0-0 ACC) at Haas Pavilion, tipping off at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, December 30, 2025. The Golden Bears are 8.5-point underdogs in the game. The over/under in the matchup is 159.5.

Louisville won its most recent matchup 94-54 against Montana on Saturday. In the win, Sananda Fru paced Louisville with 18 points. Cal won its last outing 74-56 against Columbia on Sunday. Dai Dai Ames put up 21 points, one rebound and two assists for Cal.

Louisville vs. Cal Odds and Game Time

• When: Tuesday, December 30, 2025 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: Haas Pavilion in Berkeley, California
• Spread favorite: Louisville -8.5
• Moneyline favorite: Louisville -420
• Moneyline underdog: Cal +324
• Over/Under: 159.5 points

How to watch Louisville vs. Cal

• TV Channel: ACC Network
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Louisville vs. Cal

• Six of Louisville's games this season have gone over Tuesday's total of 159.5 points.
• This season, Cal has played just one game with a combined score over 159.5 points.
• The total for the contest of 159.5 is 15.2 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Cardinals (91.6 points per game) and the Golden Bears (83.1 points per game).
• The 134.9 points per game these two teams allow to opponents on average this season are 24.6 fewer than the 159.5 total in this contest.
• Louisville has a 159.8 average over/under in its games this season, 0.3 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this matchup is 9.7 points more than the average over/under in Cal's games this season (149.8 points).

Betting the Spread: Louisville vs. Cal

• Against the spread, Louisville is 8-4-0 this year.
• So far this season, the Cardinals have been installed as favorites by an 8.5-point margin or more eight times and are 6-2 ATS in those matchups.
• In Cal's 12 games this season, it has seven wins against the spread.
• At home this year, Cal is 5-5 against the spread and 10-0 overall.
• Cal is 5-5 ATS as a 8.5-point underdog or more at home.

Betting the Moneyline: Louisville vs. Cal

• Louisville has entered the game as moneyline favorites 10 times this season and won nine of those games.
• The Cardinals are undefeated in six games this season when favored by -420 or more on the moneyline.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 80.8% chance of a victory for Louisville.
• Cal has split the two contests it has played as moneyline underdogs this season.
• This is the worst odds of a win that sportsbooks have given the Golden Bears this season with a +324 moneyline set for this game.
• Cal has an implied victory probability of 23.6% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Louisville vs. Cal

• Pick ATS: Cal (+ 8.5)
• Pick OU: Under (159.5)
  
• Prediction: Louisville 76 - Cal 72