Little Rock vs. Northwestern State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 14

The Little Rock Trojans (0-3) take the court against the Northwestern State Demons (1-3) as 9.5-point favorites on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The over/under is 143.5 in the matchup.

In its most recent outing on Tuesday, Little Rock suffered a 94-69 loss to New Mexico. Bradyn Hubbard scored a team-leading 17 points for Little Rock in the loss. Northwestern State enters this game after a 77-49 victory over Millsaps on Tuesday. Kai Simpson's team-leading 17 points paced Northwestern State in the victory.

Little Rock vs. Northwestern State Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Jack Stephens Center in Little Rock, Arkansas
• Spread favorite: Little Rock -9.5
• Moneyline favorite: Little Rock -431
• Moneyline underdog: Northwestern State +320
• Over/Under: 143.5 points

How to watch Little Rock vs. Northwestern State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Little Rock vs. Northwestern State

• Little Rock's games went over 143.5 points scored, its current matchup's point total, 12 times (out of 30) last season.
• A total of 12 Northwestern State's games last season (out of 30) had more than 143.5 total points scored.
• The Trojans and the Demons combined to average 4.7 fewer points per game a season ago than the total of 143.5 set for this matchup.
• The Trojans and the Demons saw their opponents average a combined 3.0 more points per game last season than the point total of 143.5 set for this matchup.
• The average total Little Rock had set in matchups last year was 1.2 more points than this outing's point total.
• The average total in Northwestern State's games in 2025 was 2.8 fewer points than the point total of 143.5 in this game.

Betting the Spread: Little Rock vs. Northwestern State

• Little Rock put together a 12-18-0 record against the spread last season.
• The Trojans did not cover the spread when favored by 9.5 points or more last season (in one opportunity).
• Northwestern State covered 17 times in 30 games with a spread last season.
• When playing as at least 9.5-point underdogs last year, the Demons had an ATS record of 4-5.
• At home last year, Little Rock was 4-7 against the spread and 5-6 overall.
• At home last season, Little Rock was winless ATS (0-1) as a 9.5-point favorite or more.
• Away from home last season, Northwestern State was 9-8 against the spread and 2-15 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Little Rock vs. Northwestern State

• Little Rock was the moneyline favorite 10 total times last season. It finished 6-4 in those games.
• The Trojans played as a moneyline favorite of -431 or shorter in only one game last season, which they won.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, Little Rock's implied win probability is 81.2%.
• Northwestern State was underdogs in 26 games last season and won five (19.2%) of those contests.
• Last season, the Demons were at least a +320 underdog on the moneyline 12 times, losing each of those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 23.8% chance of a victory for Northwestern State.