Lightning vs. Wild NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - March 24

The Tampa Bay Lightning (43-21-5) will host the Minnesota Wild (40-19-12) on Tuesday at 7:30 p.m. ET, in a game featuring one of the top four teams from the Eastern and Western Conferences, respectively. Lightning (-170) versus Wild (+142) has a clear favorite, according to the moneyline odds.

Tampa Bay fell 4-3 in overtime on the road its last time out on March 22 against the Calgary Flames. Gage Goncalves (one assist) and Ryan McDonagh (one goal) were among the seven Lightning skaters who put up one point each.

Minnesota won at home in its most recent game on March 21, 2-1 over the Dallas Stars. The Wild were led in that outing by Quinn Hughes (two assists) and Bobby Brink (one goal and one assist).

Here is our pick for who will clinch the win in Tuesday's game.

Lightning vs. Wild Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming contest between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Minnesota Wild, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Lightning 4 - Wild 1
• Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 5.02 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Lightning vs. Wild Moneylines

Take a look below at the most recent moneylines for the Lightning-Wild matchup.

• Favorite: Lightning (-170)
• Underdog: Wild (+142)

Lightning Betting Insights

• The Lightning have been victorious in 36 of their 58 games when they were listed as a moneyline favorite this season (62.1%).
• When playing with moneyline odds of -170 or shorter, Tampa Bay is 19-9 (winning 67.9% of the time).
• Based on the moneyline in this game, the Lightning's implied win probability is 63.0%.
• Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined to score more than 6.5 goals in 33 of 69 games this season.

Wild Betting Insights

• The Wild have been listed as an underdog 27 times this season, and won 17, or 63.0%, of those games.
• This season Minnesota has won two of its five games when it's the underdog by at least +142 on the moneyline.
• The Wild have a 41.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Minnesota has played 35 games this season that finished with more than 6.5 goals.

Lightning Key Stats

• Tampa Bay has scored the second-most goals in the league (247 total, 3.6 per game).
• The Lightning have conceded 190 total goals (2.8 per game), ranking third in league play for the fewest goals against.
• Its goal differential (+57) makes the team second-best in the league.
• The 45 power-play goals the Lightning have put up this season (on 209 power-play chances) rank 13th in the NHL.
• Tampa Bay's 21.53% power-play conversion rate ranks 14th in the league.
• The Lightning have recorded five shorthanded goals this season (16th among NHL squads).
• Tampa Bay has the league's fifth-best penalty-kill percentage (82.33%).
• Tampa Bay has the 26th-ranked faceoff win percentage in the NHL, at 47.5%.
• The Lightning connect on 12.7% of their shots (third in the league).

Wild Key Stats

• With 229 goals (3.2 per game), Minnesota has the NHL's 11th-ranked offense.
• The Wild allow 2.8 goals per game (197 in total), the fourth-fewest in the league.
• With a goal differential of +32, the team is sixth-best in the league in that category.
• The Wild have 57 power-play goals (third-most in NHL) on 232 chances.
• Minnesota has the NHL's sixth-best power-play percentage (24.57%).
• The Wild have six shorthanded goals (11th in NHL).
• The 79.57% penalty-kill percentage of Minnesota is 16th in the NHL.
• Minnesota is 30th in faceoff win rate in the NHL (46.8%).
• The 11.1% shooting percentage of the Wild is 12th in the league.